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Home England Premier League Manchester United — Leeds

Match Manchester United vs Leeds April 13, 2026 — Result and Stats

Manchester United
Manchester United
Home · last 5 W W D W W
Kick-off
Mon 13 Apr · 19:00
1:2
Full-time
Leeds
Leeds
D W D W L Away · last 5
Old Trafford · Manchester Referee Paul Tierney, England
Miss
Home Win
Home Win
AI 65% · book 1.68
Hit
Over 2.5
Over 2.5
AI 56% · book 1.77
Miss
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 44% · book 2.22
Total goals
3
1 · 2
xG (open play)
1.47 – 2.37
Δ −0.90
Possession
52% – 48%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read
P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

📊 Statistics

MUN 12 LEE
52%
Possession (%)
48%
1.47
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
2.37
20
Total Shots
15
9
Shots on Target
6
5
Shots off Target
4
15
Shots Inside Box
11
11
Corner Kicks
4
1
Offsides
0
12
Fouls
15
84%
Pass Accuracy (%)
83%
3
Yellow Cards
2
3
Goalkeeper Saves
6

Match events

14 · 1 – 2
5'
N. Okafor
0–1
Matheus Cunha
Yellow Card
18'
29'
N. Okafor
Assist · B. Aaronson · 0–2
39'
James Justin
Yellow Card
Half-time · 0 – 2
Luke Shaw
Yellow Card
49'
Lisandro Martínez
Red Card
56'
Bruno Fernandes
Yellow Card
64'
Casemiro
Assist · B. Fernandes · 1–2
69'
D. Dalot ↓ · N. Mazraoui ↑
Substitution 1
70'
B. Mbeumo ↓ · A. Diallo ↑
Substitution 2
70'
74'
I. Gruev ↓ · A. Tanaka ↑
Substitution 1
74'
W. Gnonto ↓ · N. Okafor ↑
Substitution 2
86'
Ethan Ampadu
Yellow Card
86'
S. Longstaff ↓ · B. Aaronson ↑
Substitution 3
Full-time · 1 – 2

Match recap

Leeds won 2–1 away at Manchester United. At half-time it was 0–2.

On the balance of chances, the visitors held the expected-goals edge, 2.37 to 1.47. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 20 shots to 15, 9 on target. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 11 to 4. At the back, the visitors leaned on their goalkeeper for 6 saves. For discipline, the referee produced 5 yellow cards.

On the scoresheet: N. Okafor (5'), N. Okafor (29'), Casemiro (69'). Lisandro Martínez was sent off in the 56' minute.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net +2.32 units (Brier 0.275).

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Home Win 1.68 65% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 2.5 1.77 56% Cashed +0.77 Cashed
Under 2.5 2.22 44% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS Yes 1.76 55% Cashed +0.76 Cashed
BTTS No 2.10 45% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance X2 2.33 35% Cashed +1.33 Cashed
Double Chance 1X 1.19 87% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 3.5 2.88 34% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 3.5 1.47 66% Cashed +0.47 Cashed
AH Home 0 1.25 65% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 0.5 1.05 94% Cashed +0.05 Cashed
Over 1.5 1.24 79% Cashed +0.24 Cashed
Draw 4.35 22% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 1.5 4.33 21% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 0.5 14.10 6% Lost −1.00 Miss
Away Win 5.50 13% Cashed +4.50 Cashed
AH Away 0 4.20 13% Cashed +3.20 Cashed
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each 8 W · 9 L +2.32u +14% ROI