Match Fortuna Sittard vs NAC Breda April 12, 2026 — Result and Stats
Kick-off
Sun 12 Apr · 10:15
1:1
Full-time
Fortuna Sittard Stadion · Sittard
Referee J. Manschot
Miss
Home Win
Home Win
AI 46% · book 2.62
✗
Hit
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 50% · book 2.25
✓
Miss
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 47% · book 2.40
✗
xG (open play)
1.59 – 0.75
Δ +0.84
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read
AI picks Under 2.5 at 2.25 — +12.5% better than the market.
P
Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Under 2.5
Under 2.5 @ 2.25
✓ Cashed
AI 50%
Implied 44%
+1.25u
⛀ Lineups
SIT 4-2-3-1 · BRE 4-2-3-1
📊 Statistics
SIT 1
– 1 BRE
1.59
Expected Goals (xG)
expected goals
0.75
75%
Pass Accuracy (%)
80%
Match recap
Fortuna Sittard and NAC Breda drew 1–1. At half-time it was 0–0.
In possession, the visitors ran the game with 56% of the ball. On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 1.59 to 0.75. In attack, the visitors carried the greater threat — 14 shots to 10, 7 on target. From set pieces, the visitors won the corner count, 8 to 5. At the back, the hosts leaned on their goalkeeper for 6 saves. For discipline, the referee produced 3 yellow cards.
Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -2.60 units (Brier 0.159).
⚖ Bet recap · markets settled
17 · 8 W · 9 L
| Market |
Odds |
Closed |
AI |
Result |
P/L · 1u |
|
| Home Win |
2.62 |
— |
46% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| Under 2.5 |
2.25 |
— |
50% |
Cashed |
+1.25 |
Cashed
|
| BTTS No |
2.40 |
— |
47% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| AH Home 0 |
1.95 |
— |
46% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| Over 2.5 |
1.71 |
— |
50% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| Over 3.5 |
2.70 |
— |
29% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| Away Win |
2.66 |
— |
29% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| AH Away 0 |
1.95 |
— |
29% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| Under 3.5 |
1.50 |
— |
71% |
Cashed |
+0.50 |
Cashed
|
| Double Chance 1X |
1.50 |
— |
71% |
Cashed |
+0.50 |
Cashed
|
| Under 1.5 |
4.50 |
— |
26% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| BTTS Yes |
1.57 |
— |
53% |
Cashed |
+0.57 |
Cashed
|
| Double Chance X2 |
1.55 |
— |
54% |
Cashed |
+0.55 |
Cashed
|
| Under 0.5 |
13.60 |
— |
8% |
Lost |
−1.00 |
Miss
|
| Over 0.5 |
1.05 |
— |
92% |
Cashed |
+0.05 |
Cashed
|
| Draw |
3.75 |
— |
25% |
Cashed |
+2.75 |
Cashed
|
| Over 1.5 |
1.23 |
— |
74% |
Cashed |
+0.23 |
Cashed
|
| Total · 17 markets @ 1u each |
— |
— |
— |
8 W · 9 L |
−2.60u |
−15% ROI |
