Match PSV Eindhoven vs Utrecht April 4, 2026 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

PSV Eindhoven holds a clear quality edge over Utrecht, boosted by a solid home momentum despite recent mixed results. Their attacking strength faces a resilient but less potent Utrecht defense, suggesting PSV’s offensive pressure could be decisive. The home side’s compact block and pressing edge at Philips Stadion should challenge Utrecht’s less effective attack, while the pace hints at a moderately open game with goal opportunities.

PSV’s home advantage and offensive firepower
Utrecht’s defensive solidity but limited attack
Moderate tempo favoring active play and chances

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

⛀ Lineups

PSV 4-3-3 · UTR 3-4-3

PSV · 4-3-3 3-4-3 · UTR

5 Perišić

📊 Statistics

PSV 4 – 3 UTR

63%

Possession (%)

37%

2.94

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

1.40

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

87%

Pass Accuracy (%)

72%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match recap

PSV Eindhoven beat Utrecht 4–3 at home. At half-time it was 1–2.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 63% of the ball. For accuracy, the hosts completed 87% of their passes. On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 2.94 to 1.40. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 18 shots to 12, 8 on target. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 8 to 3. In front of goal, the visitors were clinical, scoring 3 from 1.40 expected goals.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -5.70 units (Brier 0.087).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Over 3.5	2.12	—	46%	Cashed	+1.12	Cashed
BTTS No	2.55	—	38%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	1.76	—	54%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance X2	2.63	—	31%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Home Win	1.56	—	69%	Cashed	+0.56	Cashed
Double Chance 1X	1.18	—	89%	Cashed	+0.18	Cashed
Over 2.5	1.47	—	68%	Cashed	+0.47	Cashed
BTTS Yes	1.55	—	62%	Cashed	+0.55	Cashed
Under 2.5	2.88	—	32%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Home 0	1.24	—	69%	Cashed	+0.24	Cashed
Draw	4.90	—	20%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 0.5	1.03	—	96%	Cashed	+0.03	Cashed
Over 1.5	1.15	—	86%	Cashed	+0.15	Cashed
Under 1.5	6.25	—	14%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 0.5	21.00	—	4%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Away Win	6.75	—	11%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Away 0	4.96	—	11%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−5.70u	−34% ROI