Match Telstar vs PSV Eindhoven March 22, 2026 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

PSV Eindhoven holds a clear quality edge over Telstar, reflected in their stronger attack and defense metrics. Despite Telstar's home momentum, PSV's offensive threat and recent form suggest they will control the game tempo. The home side's defensive resilience may limit the scoring somewhat, but PSV's pressing edge and goal threat are likely to shine through.

PSV's superior attacking power against Telstar's defense
Home side's compact block could restrict chances
Recent form favors PSV's consistency and control

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

⛀ Lineups

STO 3-5-2 · PSV 4-3-3

STO · 3-5-2 4-3-3 · PSV

7 Hetli

📊 Statistics

STO 3 – 1 PSV

48%

Possession (%)

52%

1.83

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

1.34

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

78%

Pass Accuracy (%)

85%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match recap

Telstar beat PSV Eindhoven 3–1 at home. At half-time it was 1–0.

In attack, the visitors carried the greater threat — 18 shots to 13, 8 on target. From set pieces, the visitors won the corner count, 12 to 1. At the back, the hosts leaned on their goalkeeper for 7 saves.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net +3.95 units (Brier 0.279).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Over 3.5	1.97	—	52%	Cashed	+0.97	Cashed
Under 3.5	1.94	—	48%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS No	2.63	—	35%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Away Win	1.50	—	70%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance X2	1.16	—	89%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS Yes	1.53	—	65%	Cashed	+0.53	Cashed
Double Chance 1X	2.88	—	30%	Cashed	+1.88	Cashed
AH Away 0	1.20	—	70%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Draw	5.50	—	18%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 2.5	1.38	—	73%	Cashed	+0.38	Cashed
Over 1.5	1.12	—	88%	Cashed	+0.12	Cashed
Over 0.5	1.02	—	97%	Cashed	+0.02	Cashed
Under 2.5	3.40	—	27%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 1.5	7.50	—	12%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 0.5	26.00	—	3%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Home Win	6.50	—	11%	Cashed	+5.50	Cashed
AH Home 0	4.55	—	11%	Cashed	+3.55	Cashed
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	+3.95u	+23% ROI