Match Sparta Rotterdam vs FC Volendam March 21, 2026

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Under 3.5 at 1.65 — +13.4% better than the market.

Sparta Rotterdam holds a clear quality edge and a solid home defensive record, which should help contain Volendam's less potent attack. Despite Sparta's recent patchy form, their home momentum and defensive resilience could limit scoring opportunities.

Home defensive solidity vs away attack
Volendam's recent winning streak suggests growing confidence
Moderate pace expected, favoring tactical discipline

Expect a cautious game with Sparta leveraging their home edge and Volendam looking to exploit counter-attacks. Goals may be limited given Sparta's compact block and Volendam's moderate offensive threat.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Under 3.5

Under 3.5 @ 1.65 ✓ Cashed

AI 69% Implied 61% +0.65u

+65%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

SPA 4-3-3 · VOL 4-2-3-1

SPA · 4-3-3 4-2-3-1 · VOL

11 Mito

📊 Statistics

SPA 2 – 0 VOL

50%

Possession (%)

50%

1.33

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

0.33

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

83%

Pass Accuracy (%)

81%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match recap

Sparta Rotterdam beat FC Volendam 2–0 at home. At half-time it was 2–0.

On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 1.33 to 0.33. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 16 shots to 7, 9 on target. From set pieces, the visitors won the corner count, 7 to 3. At the back, the visitors leaned on their goalkeeper for 7 saves. For discipline, the referee produced 3 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -4.31 units (Brier 0.105).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Under 3.5	1.65	—	69%	Cashed	+0.65	Cashed
Under 2.5	2.63	—	47%	Cashed	+1.63	Cashed
BTTS No	2.28	—	51%	Cashed	+1.28	Cashed
Double Chance X2	2.62	—	32%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS Yes	1.67	—	49%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 3.5	2.35	—	31%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Home Win	1.53	—	68%	Cashed	+0.53	Cashed
Under 1.5	5.60	—	27%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 0.5	19.00	—	8%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	1.17	—	88%	Cashed	+0.17	Cashed
AH Home 0	1.22	—	68%	Cashed	+0.22	Cashed
Over 2.5	1.55	—	53%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Draw	4.70	—	20%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 0.5	1.03	—	92%	Cashed	+0.03	Cashed
Over 1.5	1.18	—	73%	Cashed	+0.18	Cashed
Away Win	5.91	—	12%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Away 0	4.46	—	12%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−4.31u	−25% ROI

Match Sparta Rotterdam vs FC Volendam March 21, 2026 — Result and Stats

AI picks Under 3.5 at 1.65 — +13.4% better than the market.

⛀ Lineups

📊 Statistics

Match recap

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled