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Home › England › Premier League › Leeds — Brentford

Leeds vs Brentford 0:0: Match Review & Stats

England   /   Premier League Value pick inside
Leeds
Leeds
Home · last 5 D W D W L
Kick-off
Sat 21 Mar · 20:00
0:0
Full-time
Brentford
Brentford
L W L D D Away · last 5
Elland Road · Leeds Referee Jarred Gillett, Australia
Miss
Over 2.5
Over 2.5
AI 52% · book 1.93 ✗
Hit
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 44% · book 2.23 ✓
Hit
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 48% · book 2.01 ✓
Total goals
0
0 · 0
xG (open play)
0.54 – 0.46
Δ +0.08
Possession
57% – 43%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed

Model verdict

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Double Chance X2 at 1.57 — +8.1% better than the market.

Leeds face Brentford at Elland Road with a noticeable quality gap favoring the visitors, who bring a sharper offensive edge against Leeds' less robust defense. Despite Leeds' home momentum, their recent form shows struggles, while Brentford's steadier results and pressing style could exploit defensive lapses. The match hints at a balanced tempo with moderate goal expectations, where Brentford's tactical discipline may outshine Leeds' attempts to control play.

  • Brentford's attacking threat vs Leeds' defensive vulnerabilities
  • Leeds' home edge tempered by recent form
  • Moderate pace suggesting tactical caution

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Double Chance X2
Double Chance X2 @ 1.57 ✓ Cashed
AI 69% Implied 64% +0.57u
+57%
ROI on stake

Statistics

LEE 0 – 0 BRE
57%
Possession (%)
43%
0.54
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
0.46
14
Total Shots
6
4
Shots on Target
2
2
Shots off Target
3
6
Shots Inside Box
4
6
Corner Kicks
2
1
Offsides
3
6
Fouls
9
80%
Pass Accuracy (%)
66%
2
Yellow Cards
0
2
Goalkeeper Saves
4

Match events

6 · 0 – 0
Pascal Struijk
Yellow Card
▮
38'
Jayden Bogle
Yellow Card
▮
42'
Half-time · 0 – 0
A. Tanaka ↓ · B. Aaronson ↑
Substitution 1
⇄
68'
N. Okafor ↓ · L. Nmecha ↑
Substitution 2
⇄
69'
77'
⇄
D. Ouattara ↓ · K. Schade ↑
Substitution 1
D. James ↓ · P. Struijk ↑
Substitution 3
⇄
83'
Full-time · 0 – 0

Match recap

Leeds and Brentford drew 0–0. At half-time it was 0–0.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 57% of the ball. For accuracy, the hosts completed 80% of their passes. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 14 shots to 6, 4 on target. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 6 to 2. At the back, the visitors leaned on their goalkeeper for 4 saves.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net +10.58 units (Brier 0.331).

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Over 2.5 1.93 — 52% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS No 2.23 — 44% Cashed +1.23 Cashed
Under 2.5 2.01 — 48% Cashed +1.01 Cashed
BTTS Yes 1.70 — 56% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Away 0 2.10 — 43% Lost −1.00 Miss
Home Win 2.56 — 31% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Home 0 1.85 — 31% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance X2 1.57 — 69% Cashed +0.57 Cashed
Away Win 2.91 — 43% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 1.47 — 57% Cashed +0.47 Cashed
Over 3.5 3.35 — 30% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 0.5 1.06 — 93% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 1.5 1.29 — 76% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 3.5 1.38 — 70% Cashed +0.38 Cashed
Draw 3.56 — 26% Cashed +2.56 Cashed
Under 1.5 3.86 — 24% Cashed +2.86 Cashed
Under 0.5 11.50 — 7% Cashed +10.50 Cashed
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each — — — 8 W · 9 L +10.58u +62% ROI
Value pick of the night · Double Chance X2
LEE – BRE @ 1.57
+8.1%
Edge
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