Match PEC Zwolle vs NAC Breda March 21, 2026 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

PEC Zwolle holds a clear quality edge and benefits from a mild home advantage, suggesting they can control the game tempo at MAC³PARK Stadion. Despite recent mixed form, their stronger defense versus NAC Breda's attack hints at a compact, disciplined approach. NAC's recent wins show signs of momentum, but breaking down Zwolle's solid backline may prove challenging.

Home side's defensive solidity versus away's moderate offense
Recent form favors NAC but overall quality leans to Zwolle
Moderate pace expected, likely a tactical, cautious match

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

⛀ Lineups

ZWO 4-2-3-1 · BRE 4-2-3-1

ZWO · 4-2-3-1 4-2-3-1 · BRE

10 Kostons

📊 Statistics

ZWO 2 – 1 BRE

43%

Possession (%)

57%

0.82

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

1.08

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

73%

Pass Accuracy (%)

80%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match recap

PEC Zwolle beat NAC Breda 2–1 at home. At half-time it was 2–0.

In possession, the visitors ran the game with 57% of the ball. In attack, the visitors carried the greater threat — 20 shots to 8, 6 on target. From set pieces, the visitors won the corner count, 5 to 2. At the back, the hosts leaned on their goalkeeper for 5 saves. For discipline, the referee produced 3 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -4.68 units (Brier 0.130).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Home Win	2.27	—	52%	Cashed	+1.27	Cashed
BTTS No	2.52	—	47%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 2.5	2.27	—	51%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Home 0	1.67	—	52%	Cashed	+0.67	Cashed
Over 2.5	1.67	—	49%	Cashed	+0.67	Cashed
Double Chance X2	1.67	—	48%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 3.5	2.60	—	29%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Away 0	2.27	—	24%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	1.53	—	71%	Cashed	+0.53	Cashed
Double Chance 1X	1.40	—	76%	Cashed	+0.40	Cashed
Under 1.5	4.66	—	27%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS Yes	1.53	—	53%	Cashed	+0.53	Cashed
Under 0.5	15.50	—	8%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Away Win	3.07	—	24%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 0.5	1.04	—	92%	Cashed	+0.04	Cashed
Draw	3.80	—	24%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 1.5	1.21	—	73%	Cashed	+0.21	Cashed
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−4.68u	−28% ROI