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Home › Netherlands › Eredivisie › Feyenoord — Excelsior

Predictions by Market: Feyenoord vs Excelsior

Netherlands   /   Eredivisie Value pick inside
Feyenoord
Feyenoord
Home · last 5 D W W D W
Kick-off
Sun 15 Mar · 13:30
2:1
Full-time
Excelsior
Excelsior
D W W D W Away · last 5
Stadion Feijenoord · Rotterdam Referee S. Gozubuyuk

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · FEY
76%
Best 1.31
Draw
17%
Best 5.80
Away Win · EXC
7%
Best 8.50
Value pick
Under 2.5
@ 2.90
Fair odds
2.70
book 2.90 · +7.6% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 37% · EV +7.6%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Over 2.5 is more likely (63%), but Under 2.5 is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Home Win Top pick
Probability 75.7%
Odds 1.31
Show model details
Implied probability 76.3%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Draw
Probability 17%
Odds 6.00
Show model details
Implied probability 16.7%
Bet quality Low
✓ Away Win
Probability 7.4%
Odds 9.75
Show model details
Implied probability 10.3%
Bet quality Low
Totals 6 markets
✓ Under 3.5
Probability 58.9%
Odds 1.79
Show model details
Implied probability 55.9%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 41.1%
Odds 2.07
Show model details
Implied probability 48.3%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 2.5
Probability 37.1%
Odds 2.90
Show model details
Implied probability 34.5%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Over 2.5
Probability 62.9%
Odds 1.40
Show model details
Implied probability 71.4%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 1.5
Probability 17.4%
Odds 6.01
Show model details
Implied probability 16.6%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 1.5 Best in group
Probability 82.6%
Odds 1.12
Show model details
Implied probability 89.3%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS No
Probability 46.4%
Odds 2.06
Show model details
Implied probability 48.5%
Bet quality Low
✓ BTTS Yes Best in group
Probability 53.6%
Odds 1.76
Show model details
Implied probability 56.8%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
✓ AH Home 0 Top pick
Probability 75.7%
Odds 1.10
Show model details
Implied probability 90.9%
Bet quality Medium
✓ AH Away 0
Probability 7.4%
Odds 7.00
Show model details
Implied probability 14.3%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 92.6%
Odds 1.08
Show model details
Implied probability 92.6%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Double Chance X2
Probability 24.3%
Odds 3.67
Show model details
Implied probability 27.3%
Bet quality Low

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Under 2.5
FEY – EXC @ 2.90
+7.6%
Edge
Forecast →