PSV Eindhoven vs NEC Nijmegen 2:3 — Match Review & Stats

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Over 3.5 at 1.75 — +2.0% better than the market.

PSV Eindhoven enters this clash with a clear quality and home edge, showing strong attacking potential against NEC's less robust defense. Their recent form suggests home momentum, while NEC's mixed results hint at inconsistency. Expect a lively tempo given the high over 2.5 goals odds, favoring an open game with PSV pressing to exploit defensive gaps.

PSV's offensive edge against NEC's defense
Home crowd support boosting PSV's confidence
NEC's struggle to contain high-quality attacks

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Over 3.5

Over 3.5 @ 1.75 ✓ Cashed

AI 58% Implied 57% +0.75u

+75%

ROI on stake

Lineups

PSV 4-2-3-1 · NIJ 3-4-2-1

PSV · 4-2-3-1 3-4-2-1 · NIJ

9 Pepi

Statistics

PSV 2 – 3 NIJ

70%

Possession (%)

30%

1.51

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

1.77

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

78%

Pass Accuracy (%)

59%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match recap

NEC Nijmegen won 3–2 away at PSV Eindhoven. At half-time it was 1–2.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 70% of the ball. For accuracy, the hosts completed 78% of their passes. In attack, the visitors carried the greater threat — 17 shots to 12, 6 on target. For discipline, the referee produced 3 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net +4.35 units (Brier 0.271).

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Over 3.5	1.75	—	58%	Cashed	+0.75	Cashed
Under 3.5	2.15	—	42%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS No	2.79	—	31%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Home Win	1.43	—	71%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	1.14	—	89%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS Yes	1.44	—	69%	Cashed	+0.44	Cashed
Double Chance X2	3.10	—	29%	Cashed	+2.10	Cashed
AH Home 0	1.18	—	71%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 2.5	1.30	—	77%	Cashed	+0.30	Cashed
Over 0.5	1.02	—	98%	Cashed	+0.02	Cashed
Draw	5.50	—	18%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 1.5	1.09	—	91%	Cashed	+0.09	Cashed
Under 2.5	3.75	—	23%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 1.5	9.00	—	9%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 0.5	34.00	—	2%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Away Win	6.75	—	11%	Cashed	+5.75	Cashed
AH Away 0	4.90	—	11%	Cashed	+3.90	Cashed
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	+4.35u	+26% ROI

PSV Eindhoven vs NEC Nijmegen 2:3: Match Review & Stats

Model verdict

⛀ Lineups

📊 Statistics

Match recap

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

Lineups

Statistics

Bet recap · markets settled