P
Prognosist
Login Sign Up →
P
Login Sign Up
⚽ Football 📰 News 📈 Forecasts 📅 Today 💹 Value Bets 🏅 Tipsters 🏆 Tournament
Home › Netherlands › Eredivisie › PSV Eindhoven — NEC Nijmegen

Match PSV Eindhoven vs NEC Nijmegen March 14, 2026 — Result and Stats

Netherlands   /   Eredivisie
PSV Eindhoven
PSV Eindhoven
Home · last 5 W W D W W
Kick-off
Sat 14 Mar · 17:45
2:3
Full-time
NEC Nijmegen
NEC Nijmegen
D D D L W Away · last 5
Philips Stadion · Eindhoven Referee Joey Kooij, Netherlands
Hit
Over 3.5
Over 3.5
AI 58% · book 1.75 ✓
Miss
Under 3.5
Under 3.5
AI 42% · book 2.15 ✗
Miss
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 31% · book 2.79 ✗
Total goals
5
2 · 3
xG (open play)
1.51 – 1.77
Δ −0.26
Possession
70% – 30%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

PSV Eindhoven enters this clash with a clear quality and home edge, showing strong attacking potential against NEC's less robust defense. Their recent form suggests home momentum, while NEC's mixed results hint at inconsistency. Expect a lively tempo given the high over 2.5 goals odds, favoring an open game with PSV pressing to exploit defensive gaps.

  • PSV's offensive edge against NEC's defense
  • Home crowd support boosting PSV's confidence
  • NEC's struggle to contain high-quality attacks

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

📊 Statistics

PSV 2 – 3 NIJ
70%
Possession (%)
30%
1.51
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
1.77
12
Total Shots
17
6
Shots on Target
6
4
Shots off Target
5
9
Shots Inside Box
12
7
Corner Kicks
7
3
Offsides
0
8
Fouls
12
78%
Pass Accuracy (%)
59%
0
Yellow Cards
3
3
Goalkeeper Saves
4

Match recap

NEC Nijmegen won 3–2 away at PSV Eindhoven. At half-time it was 1–2.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 70% of the ball. For accuracy, the hosts completed 78% of their passes. In attack, the visitors carried the greater threat — 17 shots to 12, 6 on target. For discipline, the referee produced 3 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net +4.35 units (Brier 0.271).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Over 3.5 1.75 — 58% Cashed +0.75 Cashed
Under 3.5 2.15 — 42% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS No 2.79 — 31% Lost −1.00 Miss
Home Win 1.43 — 71% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 1.14 — 89% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS Yes 1.44 — 69% Cashed +0.44 Cashed
Double Chance X2 3.10 — 29% Cashed +2.10 Cashed
AH Home 0 1.18 — 71% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 2.5 1.30 — 77% Cashed +0.30 Cashed
Over 0.5 1.02 — 98% Cashed +0.02 Cashed
Draw 5.50 — 18% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 1.5 1.09 — 91% Cashed +0.09 Cashed
Under 2.5 3.75 — 23% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 1.5 9.00 — 9% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 0.5 34.00 — 2% Lost −1.00 Miss
Away Win 6.75 — 11% Cashed +5.75 Cashed
AH Away 0 4.90 — 11% Cashed +3.90 Cashed
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each — — — 8 W · 9 L +4.35u +26% ROI