Match Sparta Rotterdam vs PEC Zwolle March 8, 2026

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Under 3.5 at 1.61 — +9.6% better than the market.

Sparta Rotterdam holds a clear quality edge and home momentum despite recent mixed results. Their defensive solidity contrasts with PEC Zwolle's less robust backline, suggesting Sparta can control the game tempo at Sparta Stadion Het Kasteel. Expect a tactical battle where Sparta's pressing and set-piece threat could unlock Zwolle's defense.

Home defensive strength vs away attack
Sparta's slight form advantage
Moderate pace hinted by odds favors structured play

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Under 3.5

Under 3.5 @ 1.61 ✓ Cashed

AI 68% Implied 62% +0.61u

+61%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

SPA 4-2-3-1 · ZWO 4-2-3-1

SPA · 4-2-3-1 4-2-3-1 · ZWO

9 Lauritsen

📊 Statistics

SPA 1 – 1 ZWO

50%

Possession (%)

50%

1.49

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

1.24

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Fouls

79%

Pass Accuracy (%)

81%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match recap

Sparta Rotterdam and PEC Zwolle drew 1–1. At half-time it was 0–0.

In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 19 shots to 15, 7 on target. For discipline, the referee produced 4 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -1.40 units (Brier 0.185).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Under 3.5	1.61	—	68%	Cashed	+0.61	Cashed
Home Win	1.71	—	62%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 2.5	2.45	—	47%	Cashed	+1.45	Cashed
BTTS No	2.40	—	46%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS Yes	1.61	—	54%	Cashed	+0.61	Cashed
Double Chance X2	2.23	—	38%	Cashed	+1.23	Cashed
Over 2.5	1.60	—	53%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 3.5	2.42	—	32%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 1.5	5.20	—	24%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	1.22	—	84%	Cashed	+0.22	Cashed
AH Home 0	1.30	—	62%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 0.5	17.00	—	7%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 0.5	1.04	—	93%	Cashed	+0.04	Cashed
Draw	4.25	—	22%	Cashed	+3.25	Cashed
Over 1.5	1.19	—	76%	Cashed	+0.19	Cashed
Away Win	4.63	—	16%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Away 0	3.58	—	16%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−1.40u	−8% ROI

Match Sparta Rotterdam vs PEC Zwolle March 8, 2026 — Result and Stats

AI picks Under 3.5 at 1.61 — +9.6% better than the market.

⛀ Lineups

📊 Statistics

Match recap

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled