Match NEC Nijmegen vs FC Volendam March 8, 2026 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Under 3.5 at 1.92 — +10.3% better than the market.

NEC Nijmegen holds a clear quality edge over FC Volendam, backed by a strong home momentum and a potent attack that outmatches Volendam's defense. The home side's recent form shows resilience, while Volendam's away struggles continue. Expect NEC to control the pace with a compact block and effective pressing, limiting Volendam's chances.

Home attacking strength vs away defensive weakness
Superior recent form and home comfort
Likely controlled tempo favoring NEC's style

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Under 3.5

Under 3.5 @ 1.92 ✓ Cashed

AI 57% Implied 52% +0.92u

+92%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

NIJ 3-4-2-1 · VOL 4-1-4-1

NIJ · 3-4-2-1 4-1-4-1 · VOL

30 Linssen

📊 Statistics

NIJ 3 – 0 VOL

57%

Possession (%)

43%

1.44

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

0.45

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

80%

Pass Accuracy (%)

74%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match recap

NEC Nijmegen beat FC Volendam 3–0 at home. At half-time it was 1–0.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 57% of the ball. On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 1.44 to 0.45. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 27 shots to 7, 11 on target. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 12 to 1. At the back, the visitors leaned on their goalkeeper for 8 saves. In front of goal, the hosts were clinical, scoring 3 from 1.44 expected goals.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -5.59 units (Brier 0.088).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Under 3.5	1.92	—	57%	Cashed	+0.92	Cashed
BTTS No	2.39	—	46%	Cashed	+1.39	Cashed
BTTS Yes	1.64	—	54%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 3.5	2.00	—	43%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 2.5	3.20	—	36%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 1.5	7.00	—	16%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Home Win	1.36	—	74%	Cashed	+0.36	Cashed
Double Chance 1X	1.10	—	91%	Cashed	+0.10	Cashed
AH Home 0	1.12	—	74%	Cashed	+0.12	Cashed
Under 0.5	26.00	—	4%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Draw	5.90	—	17%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 0.5	1.02	—	96%	Cashed	+0.02	Cashed
Over 1.5	1.12	—	84%	Cashed	+0.12	Cashed
Over 2.5	1.38	—	64%	Cashed	+0.38	Cashed
Double Chance X2	3.40	—	26%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Away Win	8.50	—	9%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Away 0	6.40	—	9%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−5.59u	−33% ROI