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Home Netherlands Eredivisie Excelsior — Heerenveen

Predictions Excelsior vs Heerenveen March 7, 2026 — Predictions and Probabilities

Netherlands   /   Eredivisie Value pick inside
Excelsior
Excelsior
Home · last 5 D W W D W
Kick-off
Sat 07 Mar · 20:00
1:2
Full-time
Heerenveen
Heerenveen
W W L D L Away · last 5
Referee Danny Makkelie, Netherlands
Home Win · EXC
27%
Best 2.70
Draw
24%
Best 3.65
Away Win · HEE
50%
Best 2.38
Value pick
BTTS No
@ 2.55
Fair odds
2.38
book 2.55 · +7.0% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 42% · EV +7.0%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — BTTS Yes is more likely (58%), but BTTS No is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
Away Win Best in group
Probability 49.7%
Odds 2.37
Show model details
Implied probability 42.2%
Bet quality Medium
Home Win
Probability 26.5%
Odds 2.85
Show model details
Implied probability 35.1%
Bet quality Low
Draw
Probability 23.8%
Odds 3.90
Show model details
Implied probability 25.6%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
Under 2.5
Probability 44.2%
Odds 2.35
Show model details
Implied probability 42.6%
Bet quality Low
Over 2.5
Probability 55.8%
Odds 1.67
Show model details
Implied probability 59.9%
Bet quality Low
Over 3.5
Probability 33.8%
Odds 2.62
Show model details
Implied probability 38.2%
Bet quality Low
Under 3.5
Probability 66.2%
Odds 1.52
Show model details
Implied probability 65.8%
Bet quality Low
Under 1.5
Probability 21.5%
Odds 4.90
Show model details
Implied probability 20.4%
Bet quality Low
Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 93.6%
Odds 1.04
Show model details
Implied probability 96.2%
Bet quality Low
Over 1.5
Probability 78.5%
Odds 1.22
Show model details
Implied probability 82%
Bet quality Low
Under 0.5
Probability 6.4%
Odds 15.00
Show model details
Implied probability 6.7%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
BTTS No
Probability 42%
Odds 2.55
Show model details
Implied probability 39.2%
Bet quality Medium
BTTS Yes Best in group
Probability 58%
Odds 1.57
Show model details
Implied probability 63.7%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
AH Away 0 Best in group
Probability 49.7%
Odds 1.76
Show model details
Implied probability 56.8%
Bet quality Low
AH Home 0
Probability 26.5%
Odds 2.11
Show model details
Implied probability 47.4%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
Double Chance 1X
Probability 50.3%
Odds 1.62
Show model details
Implied probability 61.7%
Bet quality Low
Double Chance X2 Top pick
Probability 73.5%
Odds 1.45
Show model details
Implied probability 69%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · BTTS No
EXC – HEE @ 2.55
+7.0%
Edge
Forecast →