Match Telstar vs NAC Breda February 27, 2026 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

Telstar hosts NAC Breda in a clash where home momentum is lacking, given Telstar's recent struggles and defensive vulnerabilities. NAC Breda shows better form and a slight edge in attack-defense matchups, suggesting they can exploit Telstar's leaky backline. The game may lean towards a cautious tempo with moderate goal expectations, as both sides have shown defensive resilience but limited offensive firepower.

Telstar's defensive woes could invite pressure.
NAC's recent form hints at growing confidence.
Moderate pace likely with tactical compactness.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

⛀ Lineups

STO 3-4-3 · BRE 3-5-2

STO · 3-4-3 3-5-2 · BRE

37 Duijn

📊 Statistics

STO 3 – 0 BRE

62%

Possession (%)

38%

1.24

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

0.36

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

81%

Pass Accuracy (%)

70%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match recap

Telstar beat NAC Breda 3–0 at home. At half-time it was 1–0.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 62% of the ball. For accuracy, the hosts completed 81% of their passes. On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 1.24 to 0.36. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 14 shots to 10, 7 on target. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 10 to 4. At the back, the visitors leaned on their goalkeeper for 4 saves. In front of goal, the hosts were clinical, scoring 3 from 1.24 expected goals. For discipline, the referee produced 5 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -3.04 units (Brier 0.155).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Home Win	2.60	—	45%	Cashed	+1.60	Cashed
BTTS No	2.31	—	46%	Cashed	+1.31	Cashed
Under 2.5	2.09	—	50%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 2.5	1.85	—	50%	Cashed	+0.85	Cashed
AH Home 0	1.95	—	45%	Cashed	+0.95	Cashed
BTTS Yes	1.62	—	54%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Away Win	2.68	—	30%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Away 0	1.97	—	30%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	1.50	—	70%	Cashed	+0.50	Cashed
Under 1.5	4.08	—	26%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	1.44	—	71%	Cashed	+0.44	Cashed
Over 3.5	3.00	—	29%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance X2	1.53	—	55%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 0.5	13.00	—	8%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 0.5	1.05	—	92%	Cashed	+0.05	Cashed
Over 1.5	1.26	—	74%	Cashed	+0.26	Cashed
Draw	3.60	—	25%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−3.04u	−18% ROI