Match NAC Breda vs FC Volendam February 21, 2026 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks BTTS No at 2.02 — +11.0% better than the market.

NAC Breda hosts FC Volendam in a tight Eredivisie clash where home momentum meets away resilience. NAC’s defensive solidity contrasts with Volendam’s sharper attack, suggesting a tactical battle with limited clear-cut chances. Recent form favors Volendam slightly, but NAC’s home edge and higher expected goals hint at a controlled game with few goals.

Home defensive compactness vs away attacking pressure
Volendam’s better recent form but lower offensive output
Moderate pace expected, favoring structured play

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · BTTS No

BTTS No @ 2.02 ✓ Cashed

AI 55% Implied 50% +1.02u

+102%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

BRE 4-4-2 · VOL 4-3-3

BRE · 4-4-2 4-3-3 · VOL

19 Salama

📊 Statistics

BRE 1 – 0 VOL

52%

Possession (%)

48%

1.39

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

0.52

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

77%

Pass Accuracy (%)

73%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match recap

NAC Breda beat FC Volendam 1–0 at home. At half-time it was 0–0.

On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 1.39 to 0.52. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 17 shots to 8, 3 on target. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 6 to 3. For discipline, the referee produced 4 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -1.95 units (Brier 0.151).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Under 2.5	2.19	—	54%	Cashed	+1.19	Cashed
BTTS No	2.02	—	55%	Cashed	+1.02	Cashed
Double Chance X2	2.47	—	41%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS Yes	1.81	—	45%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 2.5	1.75	—	46%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	1.47	—	76%	Cashed	+0.47	Cashed
Home Win	1.58	—	59%	Cashed	+0.58	Cashed
Under 1.5	4.35	—	31%	Cashed	+3.35	Cashed
Under 0.5	13.00	—	10%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Away Win	6.00	—	19%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	1.17	—	81%	Cashed	+0.17	Cashed
AH Home 0	1.22	—	59%	Cashed	+0.22	Cashed
Over 3.5	2.88	—	24%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 0.5	1.05	—	90%	Cashed	+0.05	Cashed
Draw	4.35	—	22%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 1.5	1.24	—	69%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Away 0	4.41	—	19%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−1.95u	−11% ROI