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Home Netherlands Eredivisie AZ Alkmaar — Sparta Rotterdam

Predictions AZ Alkmaar vs Sparta Rotterdam February 22, 2026 — Predictions and Probabilities

AZ Alkmaar
AZ Alkmaar
Home · last 5 W D D D D
Kick-off
Sun 22 Feb · 15:45
3:1
Full-time
Sparta Rotterdam
Sparta Rotterdam
L L D L L Away · last 5
AFAS Stadion · Alkmaar Referee Allard Lindhout, Netherlands
Home Win · ALK
56%
Best 1.92
Draw
24%
Best 3.70
Away Win · SPA
20%
Best 3.65
Value pick
Home Win
@ 2.05
Fair odds
1.79
book 2.05 · +14.3% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 56% · EV +14.3%

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
Home Win Top pick
Probability 55.8%
Odds 2.05
Show model details
Implied probability 48.8%
Bet quality Medium
Draw
Probability 24.1%
Odds 3.80
Show model details
Implied probability 26.3%
Bet quality Low
Away Win
Probability 20.2%
Odds 3.70
Show model details
Implied probability 27%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
Over 2.5
Probability 61.5%
Odds 1.63
Show model details
Implied probability 61.4%
Bet quality Low
Over 3.5
Probability 40.1%
Odds 2.50
Show model details
Implied probability 40%
Bet quality Low
Under 2.5
Probability 38.5%
Odds 2.38
Show model details
Implied probability 42%
Bet quality Low
Under 3.5
Probability 59.9%
Odds 1.57
Show model details
Implied probability 63.7%
Bet quality Low
Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 94.9%
Odds 1.04
Show model details
Implied probability 96.2%
Bet quality Low
Over 1.5
Probability 81.9%
Odds 1.20
Show model details
Implied probability 83.3%
Bet quality Low
Under 1.5
Probability 18.1%
Odds 4.80
Show model details
Implied probability 20.8%
Bet quality Low
Under 0.5
Probability 5.2%
Odds 15.50
Show model details
Implied probability 6.5%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
BTTS No
Probability 38.4%
Odds 2.48
Show model details
Implied probability 40.3%
Bet quality Low
BTTS Yes Best in group
Probability 61.6%
Odds 1.55
Show model details
Implied probability 64.5%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
AH Away 0
Probability 20.2%
Odds 2.68
Show model details
Implied probability 37.3%
Bet quality Low
AH Home 0 Best in group
Probability 55.8%
Odds 1.48
Show model details
Implied probability 67.6%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
Double Chance X2
Probability 44.3%
Odds 1.85
Show model details
Implied probability 54.1%
Bet quality Low
Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 79.9%
Odds 1.33
Show model details
Implied probability 75.2%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.