P
Prognosist
P
Home Netherlands Eredivisie Ajax — NEC Nijmegen

Predictions Ajax vs NEC Nijmegen February 21, 2026 — Predictions and Probabilities

Ajax
Ajax
Home · last 5 D L D W D
Kick-off
Sat 21 Feb · 20:00
1:1
Full-time
NEC Nijmegen
NEC Nijmegen
D D D L W Away · last 5
Johan Cruijff Arena · Amsterdam Referee Jeroen Manschot, Netherlands
Home Win · AJA
47%
Best 1.79
Draw
22%
Best 4.00
Away Win · NIJ
32%
Best 3.93
Value pick
Double Chance X2
@ 2.09
Fair odds
1.87
book 2.09 · +11.5% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 53% · EV +11.5%

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
Home Win Best in group
Probability 46.7%
Odds 1.80
Show model details
Implied probability 55.6%
Bet quality Low
Away Win
Probability 31.5%
Odds 4.20
Show model details
Implied probability 23.8%
Bet quality Medium
Draw
Probability 21.8%
Odds 4.35
Show model details
Implied probability 23%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
Over 3.5
Probability 49%
Odds 2.18
Show model details
Implied probability 45.9%
Bet quality Medium
Under 3.5
Probability 51%
Odds 1.75
Show model details
Implied probability 57.1%
Bet quality Low
Under 2.5
Probability 30.6%
Odds 2.80
Show model details
Implied probability 35.7%
Bet quality Low
Over 2.5
Probability 69.4%
Odds 1.50
Show model details
Implied probability 66.7%
Bet quality Medium
Over 1.5
Probability 86.7%
Odds 1.15
Show model details
Implied probability 87%
Bet quality Low
Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 96.4%
Odds 1.03
Show model details
Implied probability 97.1%
Bet quality Low
Under 1.5
Probability 13.3%
Odds 6.10
Show model details
Implied probability 16.4%
Bet quality Low
Under 0.5
Probability 3.6%
Odds 21.00
Show model details
Implied probability 4.8%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
BTTS No
Probability 32.6%
Odds 2.77
Show model details
Implied probability 36.1%
Bet quality Low
BTTS Yes Best in group
Probability 67.4%
Odds 1.49
Show model details
Implied probability 67.1%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
AH Away 0
Probability 31.5%
Odds 3.14
Show model details
Implied probability 31.9%
Bet quality Low
AH Home 0 Best in group
Probability 46.7%
Odds 1.37
Show model details
Implied probability 73%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
Double Chance X2
Probability 53.4%
Odds 2.09
Show model details
Implied probability 47.9%
Bet quality Medium
Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 68.5%
Odds 1.29
Show model details
Implied probability 77.5%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.