Match Heracles vs NAC Breda February 14, 2026 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

Heracles holds a clear quality edge and a home advantage that could prove decisive against a defensively solid NAC Breda. Despite similar recent form, Heracles' stronger attack versus NAC's sturdy defense suggests a tactical battle with limited clear-cut chances. The match pace may lean towards a moderate tempo, favoring compact defensive setups.

Home momentum and offensive edge
NAC's disciplined defensive block
Balanced recent form but slight home advantage

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

⛀ Lineups

HER 3-4-2-1 · BRE 4-3-3

HER · 3-4-2-1 4-3-3 · BRE

19 Kulenović

📊 Statistics

HER 0 – 1 BRE

53%

Possession (%)

47%

1.12

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

1.26

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

74%

Pass Accuracy (%)

76%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match recap

NAC Breda won 1–0 away at Heracles. At half-time it was 0–0.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net +0.06 units (Brier 0.263).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Home Win	2.62	—	46%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS No	2.31	—	47%	Cashed	+1.31	Cashed
Under 2.5	2.05	—	52%	Cashed	+1.05	Cashed
Over 2.5	1.92	—	48%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS Yes	1.70	—	53%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Home 0	1.93	—	46%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Away Win	2.70	—	29%	Cashed	+1.70	Cashed
AH Away 0	1.97	—	29%	Cashed	+0.97	Cashed
Double Chance 1X	1.50	—	71%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 1.5	4.03	—	27%	Cashed	+3.03	Cashed
Under 3.5	1.42	—	73%	Cashed	+0.42	Cashed
Over 3.5	3.10	—	27%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance X2	1.52	—	54%	Cashed	+0.52	Cashed
Under 0.5	12.00	—	8%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 0.5	1.06	—	92%	Cashed	+0.06	Cashed
Over 1.5	1.28	—	73%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Draw	3.65	—	25%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	+0.06u	+0% ROI