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Home › England › Premier League › Wolves — Arsenal

Predictions by Market: Wolves vs Arsenal

England   /   Premier League Value pick inside
Wolves
Wolves
Home · last 5 L D L D D
Kick-off
Wed 18 Feb · 20:00
2:2
Full-time
Arsenal
Arsenal
W W W W W Away · last 5
Molineux Stadium · Wolverhampton Referee Paul Tierney, England

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · WOL
6%
Best 11.43
Draw
17%
Best 5.65
Away Win · ARS
77%
Best 1.28
Value pick
Under 2.5
@ 2.22
Fair odds
2.09
book 2.22 · +6.2% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 48% · EV +6.2%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Over 2.5 is more likely (52%), but Under 2.5 is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Away Win Top pick
Probability 76.8%
Odds 1.31
Show model details
Implied probability 76.3%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Draw
Probability 17.2%
Odds 6.01
Show model details
Implied probability 16.6%
Bet quality Low
✓ Home Win
Probability 6.1%
Odds 12.10
Show model details
Implied probability 8.3%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
✓ Under 2.5
Probability 47.8%
Odds 2.22
Show model details
Implied probability 45.1%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Over 2.5
Probability 52.2%
Odds 1.85
Show model details
Implied probability 54.1%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 3.5
Probability 69.1%
Odds 1.47
Show model details
Implied probability 68%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 31%
Odds 2.85
Show model details
Implied probability 35.1%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 1.5
Probability 23.8%
Odds 4.33
Show model details
Implied probability 23.1%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 0.5
Probability 6.8%
Odds 14.90
Show model details
Implied probability 6.7%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 93.2%
Odds 1.05
Show model details
Implied probability 95.2%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 1.5
Probability 76.2%
Odds 1.24
Show model details
Implied probability 80.7%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS Yes
Probability 44.4%
Odds 2.29
Show model details
Implied probability 43.7%
Bet quality Low
✓ BTTS No Best in group
Probability 55.6%
Odds 1.68
Show model details
Implied probability 59.5%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
✓ AH Away 0 Top pick
Probability 76.8%
Odds 1.10
Show model details
Implied probability 90.9%
Bet quality Medium
✓ AH Home 0
Probability 6.1%
Odds 7.00
Show model details
Implied probability 14.3%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance X2 Top pick
Probability 94%
Odds 1.07
Show model details
Implied probability 93.5%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Double Chance 1X
Probability 23.2%
Odds 3.85
Show model details
Implied probability 26%
Bet quality Low

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Under 2.5
WOL – ARS @ 2.22
+6.2%
Edge
Forecast →