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Home › Netherlands › Eredivisie › NAC Breda — Excelsior

Predictions by Market: NAC Breda vs Excelsior

Netherlands   /   Eredivisie Value pick inside
NAC Breda
NAC Breda
Home · last 5 D L L W D
Kick-off
Fri 06 Feb · 19:00
0:2
Full-time
Excelsior
Excelsior
D W W D W Away · last 5
Rat Verlegh Stadion · Breda Referee Serdar Gozubuyuk, Netherlands

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · BRE
59%
Best 1.85
Draw
23%
Best 3.55
Away Win · EXC
18%
Best 4.20
Value pick
BTTS No
@ 2.26
Fair odds
2.04
book 2.26 · +10.5% vs market
Bookmakers polled
3
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 49% · EV +10.5%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — BTTS Yes is more likely (51%), but BTTS No is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Home Win Top pick
Probability 58.6%
Odds 1.86
Show model details
Implied probability 53.8%
Bet quality High
✓ Draw
Probability 23.4%
Odds 3.95
Show model details
Implied probability 25.3%
Bet quality Low
✓ Away Win
Probability 18.1%
Odds 4.35
Show model details
Implied probability 23%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
✓ Under 2.5 Value pick
Probability 51.2%
Odds 2.25
Show model details
Implied probability 44.4%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Over 2.5
Probability 48.8%
Odds 1.72
Show model details
Implied probability 58.1%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 27.7%
Odds 2.80
Show model details
Implied probability 35.7%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 3.5 Value pick
Probability 72.3%
Odds 1.50
Show model details
Implied probability 66.7%
Bet quality High
✓ Under 1.5
Probability 27.2%
Odds 4.40
Show model details
Implied probability 22.7%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Under 0.5
Probability 8.2%
Odds 14.20
Show model details
Implied probability 7%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 91.8%
Odds 1.04
Show model details
Implied probability 96.2%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 1.5
Probability 72.8%
Odds 1.22
Show model details
Implied probability 82%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS No
Probability 48.9%
Odds 2.26
Show model details
Implied probability 44.3%
Bet quality Medium
✓ BTTS Yes Best in group
Probability 51.1%
Odds 1.70
Show model details
Implied probability 58.8%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
✓ AH Home 0 Top pick
Probability 58.6%
Odds 1.38
Show model details
Implied probability 72.5%
Bet quality Medium
✓ AH Away 0
Probability 18.1%
Odds 3.30
Show model details
Implied probability 30.3%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance X2
Probability 41.5%
Odds 2.04
Show model details
Implied probability 49%
Bet quality Low
✓ Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 81.9%
Odds 1.27
Show model details
Implied probability 78.7%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · BTTS No
BRE – EXC @ 2.26
+10.5%
Edge
Forecast →