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Home Netherlands Eredivisie Heracles — Fortuna Sittard

Match Heracles vs Fortuna Sittard February 1, 2026 — Result and Stats

Heracles
Heracles
Home · last 5 L L L L L
Kick-off
Sun 01 Feb · 13:30
2:1
Full-time
Fortuna Sittard
Fortuna Sittard
D L L W L Away · last 5
Referee R. Martens
Miss
Double Chance X2
Double Chance X2
AI 67% · book 1.62
Miss
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 49% · book 2.38
Miss
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 53% · book 2.17
Total goals
3
2 · 1
xG (open play)
2.01 – 0.60
Δ +1.41
Possession
46% – 54%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

Fortuna Sittard enters this clash with clear momentum, boasting a better recent form and a notable quality edge over Heracles, who are struggling with a string of losses. The visitors' defensive solidity could stifle Heracles' modest attacking threat, while their own offense may find opportunities against a vulnerable home backline. Expect a tactical battle with Fortuna likely to control the tempo and exploit set-piece chances.

  • Fortuna's recent form contrasts sharply with Heracles' slump
  • Defensive resilience vs. home offensive struggles
  • Moderate pace suggested by odds favors structured play

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

📊 Statistics

HER 21 SIT
46%
Possession (%)
54%
2.01
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
0.60
11
Total Shots
12
7
Shots on Target
6
3
Shots off Target
4
9
Shots Inside Box
6
4
Corner Kicks
5
1
Offsides
2
17
Fouls
14
73%
Pass Accuracy (%)
75%
2
Yellow Cards
3
5
Goalkeeper Saves
5

Match recap

Heracles beat Fortuna Sittard 2–1 at home. At half-time it was 2–1.

On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 2.01 to 0.60. For discipline, the referee produced 5 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -4.14 units (Brier 0.193).

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Double Chance X2 1.62 67% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS No 2.38 49% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 2.5 2.17 53% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Away 0 2.16 42% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 2.5 1.82 47% Cashed +0.82 Cashed
BTTS Yes 1.65 51% Cashed +0.65 Cashed
Home Win 2.45 33% Cashed +1.45 Cashed
AH Home 0 1.73 33% Cashed +0.73 Cashed
Away Win 3.00 42% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 3.5 1.45 74% Cashed +0.45 Cashed
Double Chance 1X 1.43 58% Cashed +0.43 Cashed
Under 1.5 4.30 28% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 3.5 3.00 26% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 0.5 12.50 9% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 0.5 1.06 91% Cashed +0.06 Cashed
Draw 3.60 26% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 1.5 1.27 72% Cashed +0.27 Cashed
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each 8 W · 9 L −4.14u −24% ROI