Match Utrecht vs Sparta Rotterdam January 25, 2026

Post-match · 90 sec read

Utrecht hosts Sparta Rotterdam with a clear quality edge and a moderate home advantage, despite recent struggles. Utrecht's defense is notably tested by Sparta's sharper attack, suggesting a tactical battle where set-pieces and pressing could be decisive. Sparta's strong recent form contrasts with Utrecht's dip, hinting at a lively contest but with home momentum likely to prevail.

Utrecht's defensive solidity vs Sparta's offensive threat
Sparta's winning streak vs Utrecht's poor recent form
Moderate home edge and balanced pace expected

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

⛀ Lineups

UTR 4-2-3-1 · SPA 4-2-3-1

UTR · 4-2-3-1 4-2-3-1 · SPA

22 Rodríguez

📊 Statistics

UTR 0 – 1 SPA

58%

Possession (%)

42%

1.66

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

0.59

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

82%

Pass Accuracy (%)

76%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match recap

Sparta Rotterdam won 1–0 away at Utrecht. At half-time it was 0–1.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 58% of the ball. On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 1.66 to 0.59. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 22 shots to 5, 5 on target. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 10 to 0. At the back, the visitors leaned on their goalkeeper for 6 saves. For discipline, the referee produced 3 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net +4.11 units (Brier 0.346).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Home Win	1.87	—	59%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS No	2.38	—	43%	Cashed	+1.38	Cashed
Under 2.5	2.26	—	45%	Cashed	+1.26	Cashed
Over 2.5	1.74	—	55%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS Yes	1.67	—	57%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 3.5	2.80	—	34%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance X2	2.00	—	41%	Cashed	+1.00	Cashed
AH Home 0	1.40	—	59%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	1.27	—	83%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	1.52	—	66%	Cashed	+0.52	Cashed
Under 1.5	4.55	—	22%	Cashed	+3.55	Cashed
Over 0.5	1.04	—	94%	Cashed	+0.04	Cashed
Over 1.5	1.22	—	78%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 0.5	15.00	—	6%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Draw	3.95	—	23%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Away 0	3.01	—	17%	Cashed	+2.01	Cashed
Away Win	4.35	—	17%	Cashed	+3.35	Cashed
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	+4.11u	+24% ROI

Match Utrecht vs Sparta Rotterdam January 25, 2026 — Result and Stats

⛀ Lineups

📊 Statistics

Match recap

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled