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Home › Netherlands › Eredivisie › Groningen — Fortuna Sittard

Predictions by Market: Groningen vs Fortuna Sittard

Netherlands   /   Eredivisie Value pick inside
Groningen
Groningen
Home · last 5 L L W W L
Kick-off
Sun 25 Jan · 13:30
1:2
Full-time
Fortuna Sittard
Fortuna Sittard
D L L W L Away · last 5
Euroborg · Groningen Referee Ingmar Oostrom, Netherlands

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · GRO
56%
Best 1.53
Draw
23%
Best 4.18
Away Win · SIT
21%
Best 6.22
Value pick
Under 1.5
@ 4.45
Fair odds
4.27
book 4.45 · +4.3% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Low
p 23% · EV +4.3%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Over 1.5 is more likely (77%), but Under 1.5 is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Home Win Best in group
Probability 56.2%
Odds 1.62
Show model details
Implied probability 61.7%
Bet quality Low
✓ Away Win
Probability 21%
Odds 5.75
Show model details
Implied probability 17.4%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Draw
Probability 22.8%
Odds 4.30
Show model details
Implied probability 23.3%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
✓ Under 2.5
Probability 46.7%
Odds 2.22
Show model details
Implied probability 45.1%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 2.5
Probability 53.3%
Odds 1.70
Show model details
Implied probability 58.8%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 31.8%
Odds 2.70
Show model details
Implied probability 37%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 3.5
Probability 68.2%
Odds 1.50
Show model details
Implied probability 66.7%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 1.5
Probability 23.4%
Odds 4.45
Show model details
Implied probability 22.5%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 0.5
Probability 6.9%
Odds 14.40
Show model details
Implied probability 6.9%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 93.1%
Odds 1.05
Show model details
Implied probability 95.2%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 1.5
Probability 76.6%
Odds 1.23
Show model details
Implied probability 81.3%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS No
Probability 48.4%
Odds 2.10
Show model details
Implied probability 47.6%
Bet quality Low
✓ BTTS Yes Best in group
Probability 51.6%
Odds 1.74
Show model details
Implied probability 57.5%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
✓ AH Away 0
Probability 21%
Odds 4.20
Show model details
Implied probability 23.8%
Bet quality Low
✓ AH Home 0 Best in group
Probability 56.2%
Odds 1.23
Show model details
Implied probability 81.3%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance X2
Probability 43.8%
Odds 2.38
Show model details
Implied probability 42%
Bet quality Low
✓ Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 79%
Odds 1.17
Show model details
Implied probability 85.5%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Under 1.5
GRO – SIT @ 4.45
+4.3%
Edge
Forecast →