Match PSV Eindhoven vs NAC Breda January 24, 2026 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

PSV Eindhoven enters this clash with strong home momentum, boasting a solid recent run and a clear quality edge over NAC Breda. Their potent attack faces a defense that has struggled, suggesting PSV’s pressing and set-piece threat could dominate. Meanwhile, NAC’s inconsistent form and defensive vulnerabilities away from home hint at a tough outing.

Home side’s attacking firepower vs away defensive lapses
PSV’s recent winning streak and home confidence
Likely open tempo favoring goal opportunities

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

⛀ Lineups

PSV 4-2-3-1 · BRE 5-3-2

PSV · 4-2-3-1 5-3-2 · BRE

34 Saibari

📊 Statistics

PSV 2 – 2 BRE

73%

Possession (%)

27%

1.79

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

1.50

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

86%

Pass Accuracy (%)

70%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match recap

PSV Eindhoven and NAC Breda drew 2–2. At half-time it was 1–2.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 73% of the ball. For accuracy, the hosts completed 86% of their passes. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 16 shots to 6, 4 on target. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 10 to 4. For discipline, the referee produced 7 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net +2.75 units (Brier 0.221).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
BTTS Yes	1.90	—	54%	Cashed	+0.90	Cashed
Over 3.5	2.04	—	49%	Cashed	+1.04	Cashed
Under 3.5	1.89	—	51%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS No	2.00	—	46%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Draw	6.85	—	16%	Cashed	+5.85	Cashed
Double Chance 1X	1.06	—	94%	Cashed	+0.06	Cashed
Home Win	1.25	—	78%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 2.5	1.40	—	70%	Cashed	+0.40	Cashed
Under 2.5	3.10	—	31%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Home 0	1.02	—	78%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 0.5	1.02	—	97%	Cashed	+0.02	Cashed
Over 1.5	1.13	—	86%	Cashed	+0.13	Cashed
Double Chance X2	4.35	—	22%	Cashed	+3.35	Cashed
Under 1.5	6.50	—	14%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 0.5	24.00	—	3%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Away Win	12.00	—	6%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Away 0	8.10	—	6%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	+2.75u	+16% ROI