Match Heracles vs Twente January 18, 2026 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

Twente enters this clash with a clear quality edge and better recent form, suggesting they hold the upper hand. Their stronger attack faces a Heracles defense that has struggled, while Heracles' home edge is limited, indicating a challenging night ahead. The pace is likely moderate, with a decent chance both teams find the net given Twente's offensive threat and Heracles' occasional resilience.

Twente's superior overall strength and form advantage
Heracles' defensive vulnerabilities against a potent attack
Moderate tempo favoring tactical balance and goal opportunities

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

⛀ Lineups

HER 4-4-2 · TWE 4-2-3-1

HER · 4-4-2 4-2-3-1 · TWE

25 Zeefuik

📊 Statistics

HER 0 – 2 TWE

49%

Possession (%)

51%

0.70

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

2.53

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

81%

Pass Accuracy (%)

78%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match recap

Twente won 2–0 away at Heracles. At half-time it was 0–1.

On the balance of chances, the visitors held the expected-goals edge, 2.53 to 0.70. In attack, the visitors carried the greater threat — 18 shots to 11, 6 on target. At the back, the hosts leaned on their goalkeeper for 4 saves. For discipline, the referee produced 6 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -4.59 units (Brier 0.127).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Over 2.5	1.62	—	60%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 2.5	2.42	—	40%	Cashed	+1.42	Cashed
Over 3.5	2.55	—	38%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS Yes	1.69	—	57%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS No	2.21	—	43%	Cashed	+1.21	Cashed
Double Chance 1X	2.56	—	33%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Away Win	1.58	—	67%	Cashed	+0.58	Cashed
Double Chance X2	1.17	—	88%	Cashed	+0.17	Cashed
Under 3.5	1.57	—	62%	Cashed	+0.57	Cashed
AH Away 0	1.22	—	67%	Cashed	+0.22	Cashed
Over 0.5	1.04	—	95%	Cashed	+0.04	Cashed
Over 1.5	1.20	—	81%	Cashed	+0.20	Cashed
Draw	4.50	—	21%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 1.5	5.00	—	19%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 0.5	17.00	—	5%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Home Win	5.91	—	12%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Home 0	4.52	—	12%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−4.59u	−27% ROI