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Home › Netherlands › Eredivisie › Fortuna Sittard — PSV Eindhoven

Match Fortuna Sittard vs PSV Eindhoven January 17, 2026 — Result and Stats

Netherlands   /   Eredivisie
Fortuna Sittard
Fortuna Sittard
Home · last 5 D L L W L
Kick-off
Sat 17 Jan · 19:00
1:2
Full-time
PSV Eindhoven
PSV Eindhoven
W W D W W Away · last 5
Fortuna Sittard Stadion · Sittard Referee Jeroen Manschot, Netherlands
Miss
Over 3.5
Over 3.5
AI 51% · book 2.07 ✗
Hit
BTTS Yes
BTTS Yes
AI 62% · book 1.67 ✓
Hit
Under 3.5
Under 3.5
AI 49% · book 1.90 ✓
Total goals
3
1 · 2
xG (open play)
0.31 – 3.03
Δ −2.72
Possession
30% – 70%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

PSV Eindhoven arrive with clear quality superiority and strong recent form, suggesting they hold the upper hand despite playing away. Fortuna's home edge is limited, and their recent struggles contrast with PSV's attacking prowess. Expect PSV's dynamic offense to challenge Fortuna's defense, potentially leading to a lively game with goal-scoring chances for both sides.

  • PSV's offensive strength vs Fortuna's defense
  • Fortuna's modest home momentum
  • Likely open tempo favoring PSV's attack

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

📊 Statistics

SIT 1 – 2 PSV
30%
Possession (%)
70%
0.31
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
3.03
6
Total Shots
18
1
Shots on Target
8
4
Shots off Target
6
3
Shots Inside Box
13
4
Corner Kicks
14
2
Offsides
1
10
Fouls
11
70%
Pass Accuracy (%)
88%
1
Yellow Cards
1
6
Goalkeeper Saves
0

Match recap

PSV Eindhoven won 2–1 away at Fortuna Sittard. At half-time it was 1–1.

In possession, the visitors ran the game with 70% of the ball. For accuracy, the visitors completed 88% of their passes. On the balance of chances, the visitors held the expected-goals edge, 3.03 to 0.31. In attack, the visitors carried the greater threat — 18 shots to 6, 8 on target. From set pieces, the visitors won the corner count, 14 to 4. At the back, the hosts leaned on their goalkeeper for 6 saves.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -6.22 units (Brier 0.074).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Over 3.5 2.07 — 51% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS Yes 1.67 — 62% Cashed +0.67 Cashed
Under 3.5 1.90 — 49% Cashed +0.90 Cashed
BTTS No 2.38 — 38% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 2.5 1.44 — 71% Cashed +0.44 Cashed
Double Chance X2 1.11 — 92% Cashed +0.11 Cashed
Away Win 1.36 — 74% Cashed +0.36 Cashed
Under 2.5 3.15 — 29% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Away 0 1.13 — 74% Cashed +0.13 Cashed
Draw 5.80 — 17% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 1.5 1.14 — 88% Cashed +0.14 Cashed
Over 0.5 1.03 — 97% Cashed +0.03 Cashed
Under 1.5 7.00 — 12% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 3.25 — 26% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 0.5 24.00 — 3% Lost −1.00 Miss
Home Win 8.50 — 9% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Home 0 5.90 — 9% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each — — — 8 W · 9 L −6.22u −37% ROI