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Home › Netherlands › Eredivisie › Excelsior — Telstar

Predictions by Market: Excelsior vs Telstar

Netherlands   /   Eredivisie Value pick inside
Excelsior
Excelsior
Home · last 5 D W W D W
Kick-off
Sat 17 Jan · 19:00
2:2
Full-time
Telstar
Telstar
L W D W W Away · last 5
Referee Bas Nijhuis, Netherlands

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · EXC
36%
Best 2.28
Draw
25%
Best 3.40
Away Win · STO
39%
Best 3.05
Value pick
Under 2.5
@ 2.20
Fair odds
2.00
book 2.20 · +9.8% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 50% · EV +9.8%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Over 2.5 is more likely (50%), but Under 2.5 is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Home Win
Probability 35.9%
Odds 2.26
Show model details
Implied probability 44.3%
Bet quality Low
✓ Away Win Best in group
Probability 38.8%
Odds 3.25
Show model details
Implied probability 30.8%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Draw
Probability 25.3%
Odds 3.65
Show model details
Implied probability 27.4%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
✓ Under 2.5
Probability 49.9%
Odds 2.20
Show model details
Implied probability 45.5%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Over 2.5
Probability 50.1%
Odds 1.72
Show model details
Implied probability 58.1%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 29%
Odds 2.75
Show model details
Implied probability 36.4%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 3.5
Probability 71%
Odds 1.48
Show model details
Implied probability 67.6%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Under 1.5
Probability 25.7%
Odds 4.50
Show model details
Implied probability 22.2%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Under 0.5
Probability 7.7%
Odds 14.20
Show model details
Implied probability 7%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 92.3%
Odds 1.05
Show model details
Implied probability 95.2%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 1.5
Probability 74.3%
Odds 1.24
Show model details
Implied probability 80.7%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS No
Probability 45.9%
Odds 2.38
Show model details
Implied probability 42%
Bet quality Medium
✓ BTTS Yes Best in group
Probability 54.1%
Odds 1.58
Show model details
Implied probability 63.3%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
✓ AH Away 0 Best in group
Probability 38.8%
Odds 2.32
Show model details
Implied probability 43.1%
Bet quality Low
✓ AH Home 0
Probability 35.9%
Odds 1.65
Show model details
Implied probability 60.6%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance X2 Top pick
Probability 64.1%
Odds 1.67
Show model details
Implied probability 59.9%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Double Chance 1X
Probability 61.2%
Odds 1.38
Show model details
Implied probability 72.5%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Under 2.5
EXC – STO @ 2.20
+9.8%
Edge
Forecast →