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Home Netherlands Eredivisie Excelsior — Telstar

Predictions Excelsior vs Telstar January 17, 2026 — Predictions and Probabilities

Excelsior
Excelsior
Home · last 5 D W W D W
Kick-off
Sat 17 Jan · 19:00
2:2
Full-time
Telstar
Telstar
L W D W W Away · last 5
Referee Bas Nijhuis, Netherlands
Home Win · EXC
36%
Best 2.28
Draw
25%
Best 3.40
Away Win · STO
39%
Best 3.05
Value pick
Under 2.5
@ 2.20
Fair odds
2.00
book 2.20 · +9.8% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 50% · EV +9.8%

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
Home Win
Probability 35.9%
Odds 2.26
Show model details
Implied probability 44.3%
Bet quality Low
Away Win Best in group
Probability 38.8%
Odds 3.25
Show model details
Implied probability 30.8%
Bet quality Medium
Draw
Probability 25.3%
Odds 3.65
Show model details
Implied probability 27.4%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
Under 2.5
Probability 49.9%
Odds 2.20
Show model details
Implied probability 45.5%
Bet quality Medium
Over 2.5
Probability 50.1%
Odds 1.72
Show model details
Implied probability 58.1%
Bet quality Low
Over 3.5
Probability 29%
Odds 2.75
Show model details
Implied probability 36.4%
Bet quality Low
Under 3.5
Probability 71%
Odds 1.48
Show model details
Implied probability 67.6%
Bet quality Medium
Under 1.5
Probability 25.7%
Odds 4.50
Show model details
Implied probability 22.2%
Bet quality Medium
Under 0.5
Probability 7.7%
Odds 14.20
Show model details
Implied probability 7%
Bet quality Low
Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 92.3%
Odds 1.05
Show model details
Implied probability 95.2%
Bet quality Low
Over 1.5
Probability 74.3%
Odds 1.24
Show model details
Implied probability 80.7%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
BTTS No
Probability 45.9%
Odds 2.38
Show model details
Implied probability 42%
Bet quality Medium
BTTS Yes Best in group
Probability 54.1%
Odds 1.58
Show model details
Implied probability 63.3%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
AH Away 0 Best in group
Probability 38.8%
Odds 2.32
Show model details
Implied probability 43.1%
Bet quality Low
AH Home 0
Probability 35.9%
Odds 1.65
Show model details
Implied probability 60.6%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
Double Chance X2 Top pick
Probability 64.1%
Odds 1.67
Show model details
Implied probability 59.9%
Bet quality Medium
Double Chance 1X
Probability 61.2%
Odds 1.38
Show model details
Implied probability 72.5%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.