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Home Netherlands Eredivisie Telstar — Ajax

Predictions Telstar vs Ajax January 11, 2026 — Predictions and Probabilities

Telstar
Telstar
Home · last 5 L W D W W
Kick-off
Sun 11 Jan · 13:30
2:3
Full-time
Ajax
Ajax
D L D W D Away · last 5
BUKO Stadion · Velsen-Zuid Referee Jeroen Manschot, Netherlands
Home Win · STO
18%
Best 4.00
Draw
23%
Best 3.82
Away Win · AJA
59%
Best 1.80
Value pick
Away Win
@ 1.93
Fair odds
1.71
book 1.93 · +12.9% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
High
p 59% · EV +12.9%

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
Away Win Top pick
Probability 58.5%
Odds 1.93
Show model details
Implied probability 51.8%
Bet quality High
Draw
Probability 23.1%
Odds 4.01
Show model details
Implied probability 24.9%
Bet quality Low
Home Win
Probability 18.4%
Odds 3.95
Show model details
Implied probability 25.3%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
Over 2.5
Probability 60.8%
Odds 1.60
Show model details
Implied probability 62.5%
Bet quality Low
Over 3.5
Probability 39.4%
Odds 2.47
Show model details
Implied probability 40.5%
Bet quality Low
Under 2.5
Probability 39.2%
Odds 2.40
Show model details
Implied probability 41.7%
Bet quality Low
Under 3.5
Probability 60.6%
Odds 1.59
Show model details
Implied probability 62.9%
Bet quality Low
Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 95.1%
Odds 1.04
Show model details
Implied probability 96.2%
Bet quality Low
Over 1.5
Probability 81.9%
Odds 1.20
Show model details
Implied probability 83.3%
Bet quality Low
Under 1.5
Probability 18.1%
Odds 5.20
Show model details
Implied probability 19.2%
Bet quality Low
Under 0.5
Probability 5%
Odds 17.50
Show model details
Implied probability 5.7%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
BTTS No
Probability 38.6%
Odds 2.46
Show model details
Implied probability 40.7%
Bet quality Low
BTTS Yes Best in group
Probability 61.4%
Odds 1.55
Show model details
Implied probability 64.5%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
AH Away 0 Top pick
Probability 58.5%
Odds 1.42
Show model details
Implied probability 70.4%
Bet quality Medium
AH Home 0
Probability 18.4%
Odds 2.97
Show model details
Implied probability 33.7%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
Double Chance 1X
Probability 41.5%
Odds 1.98
Show model details
Implied probability 50.5%
Bet quality Low
Double Chance X2 Top pick
Probability 81.6%
Odds 1.30
Show model details
Implied probability 76.9%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.