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Home › Netherlands › Eredivisie › PSV Eindhoven — Excelsior

Predictions by Market: PSV Eindhoven vs Excelsior

Netherlands   /   Eredivisie Value pick inside
PSV Eindhoven
PSV Eindhoven
Home · last 5 W W D W W
Kick-off
Sat 10 Jan · 19:00
5:1
Full-time
Excelsior
Excelsior
D W W D W Away · last 5
Philips Stadion · Eindhoven Referee Joey Kooij, Netherlands

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · PSV
84%
Best 1.15
Draw
12%
Best 8.38
Away Win · EXC
4%
Best 14.38
Value pick
Under 2.5
@ 4.33
Fair odds
3.94
book 4.33 · +9.9% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 25% · EV +9.9%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Over 2.5 is more likely (75%), but Under 2.5 is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Draw
Probability 12%
Odds 10.50
Show model details
Implied probability 9.5%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Home Win Top pick
Probability 84%
Odds 1.16
Show model details
Implied probability 86.2%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Away Win
Probability 4.1%
Odds 18.00
Show model details
Implied probability 5.6%
Bet quality Low
Totals 6 markets
✓ Under 3.5
Probability 45.1%
Odds 2.38
Show model details
Implied probability 42%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 54.9%
Odds 1.65
Show model details
Implied probability 60.6%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 2.5
Probability 25.4%
Odds 4.33
Show model details
Implied probability 23.1%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Under 1.5
Probability 10.6%
Odds 10.00
Show model details
Implied probability 10%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 1.5 Best in group
Probability 89.4%
Odds 1.08
Show model details
Implied probability 92.6%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 2.5
Probability 74.6%
Odds 1.26
Show model details
Implied probability 79.4%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS Yes Best in group
Probability 55.7%
Odds 1.81
Show model details
Implied probability 55.3%
Bet quality Low
✓ BTTS No
Probability 44.3%
Odds 2.07
Show model details
Implied probability 48.3%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
✓ AH Home 0 Top pick
Probability 84%
Odds 1.03
Show model details
Implied probability 97.1%
Bet quality Medium
✓ AH Away 0
Probability 4.1%
Odds 12.00
Show model details
Implied probability 8.3%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 95.9%
Odds 1.04
Show model details
Implied probability 96.2%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Double Chance X2
Probability 16.1%
Odds 6.23
Show model details
Implied probability 16.1%
Bet quality Low

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Under 2.5
PSV – EXC @ 4.33
+9.9%
Edge
Forecast →