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Home Netherlands Eredivisie AZ Alkmaar — FC Volendam

Predictions AZ Alkmaar vs FC Volendam January 10, 2026 — Predictions and Probabilities

Netherlands   /   Eredivisie Value pick inside
AZ Alkmaar
AZ Alkmaar
Home · last 5 W D D D D
Kick-off
Sat 10 Jan · 15:30
1:0
Full-time
FC Volendam
FC Volendam
L W L D L Away · last 5
AFAS Stadion · Alkmaar Referee Allard Lindhout, Netherlands
Home Win · ALK
80%
Best 1.16
Draw
15%
Best 7.76
Away Win · VOL
6%
Best 15.50
Value pick
Draw
@ 7.40
Fair odds
6.79
book 7.40 · +8.9% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 15% · EV +8.9%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Home Win is more likely (80%), but Draw is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
Draw
Probability 14.7%
Odds 7.40
Show model details
Implied probability 13.5%
Bet quality Medium
Home Win Top pick
Probability 79.8%
Odds 1.22
Show model details
Implied probability 82%
Bet quality Medium
Away Win
Probability 5.5%
Odds 13.00
Show model details
Implied probability 7.7%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
Under 3.5 Value pick
Probability 56.9%
Odds 2.07
Show model details
Implied probability 48.3%
Bet quality High
Over 3.5
Probability 43.1%
Odds 1.83
Show model details
Implied probability 54.6%
Bet quality Low
Under 1.5
Probability 16.7%
Odds 8.00
Show model details
Implied probability 12.5%
Bet quality Medium
Under 2.5
Probability 36%
Odds 3.50
Show model details
Implied probability 28.6%
Bet quality Medium
Under 0.5
Probability 4.5%
Odds 27.00
Show model details
Implied probability 3.7%
Bet quality Low
Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 95.6%
Odds 1.02
Show model details
Implied probability 98%
Bet quality Low
Over 1.5
Probability 83.3%
Odds 1.10
Show model details
Implied probability 90.9%
Bet quality Low
Over 2.5
Probability 64%
Odds 1.32
Show model details
Implied probability 75.8%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
BTTS No
Probability 50%
Odds 2.10
Show model details
Implied probability 47.6%
Bet quality Medium
BTTS Yes Best in group
Probability 50%
Odds 1.78
Show model details
Implied probability 56.2%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
AH Home 0 Top pick
Probability 79.8%
Odds 1.02
Show model details
Implied probability 98%
Bet quality Medium
AH Away 0
Probability 5.5%
Odds 8.30
Show model details
Implied probability 12.1%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 94.5%
Odds 1.06
Show model details
Implied probability 94.3%
Bet quality Medium
Double Chance X2
Probability 20.2%
Odds 4.64
Show model details
Implied probability 21.6%
Bet quality Low

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Draw
ALK – VOL @ 7.40
+8.9%
Edge
Forecast →