P
Prognosist
P
Home › Netherlands › Eredivisie › Ajax — Feyenoord

Predictions by Market: Ajax vs Feyenoord

Netherlands   /   Eredivisie Value pick inside
Ajax
Ajax
Home · last 5 D L D W D
Kick-off
Sun 14 Dec · 13:30
2:0
Full-time
Feyenoord
Feyenoord
D W W D W Away · last 5
Johan Cruijff Arena · Amsterdam Referee Serdar Gozubuyuk, Netherlands

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · AJA
23%
Best 3.00
Draw
24%
Best 3.75
Away Win · FEY
53%
Best 2.15
Value pick
Over 3.5
@ 2.38
Fair odds
2.07
book 2.38 · +15.0% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 48% · EV +15.0%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Under 3.5 is more likely (52%), but Over 3.5 is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Away Win Top pick
Probability 53.3%
Odds 2.19
Show model details
Implied probability 45.7%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Home Win
Probability 22.9%
Odds 3.20
Show model details
Implied probability 31.3%
Bet quality Low
✓ Draw
Probability 23.8%
Odds 3.93
Show model details
Implied probability 25.5%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 48.3%
Odds 2.38
Show model details
Implied probability 42%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Under 3.5
Probability 51.7%
Odds 1.63
Show model details
Implied probability 61.4%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 2.5
Probability 31%
Odds 2.60
Show model details
Implied probability 38.5%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 2.5 Value pick
Probability 69%
Odds 1.57
Show model details
Implied probability 63.7%
Bet quality High
✓ Over 1.5
Probability 86.5%
Odds 1.18
Show model details
Implied probability 84.8%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 96.1%
Odds 1.03
Show model details
Implied probability 97.1%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 1.5
Probability 13.5%
Odds 5.60
Show model details
Implied probability 17.9%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 0.5
Probability 3.9%
Odds 17.50
Show model details
Implied probability 5.7%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS No
Probability 32%
Odds 2.75
Show model details
Implied probability 36.4%
Bet quality Low
✓ BTTS Yes Best in group
Probability 68%
Odds 1.50
Show model details
Implied probability 66.7%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
✓ AH Away 0 Best in group
Probability 53.3%
Odds 1.64
Show model details
Implied probability 61%
Bet quality Low
✓ AH Home 0
Probability 22.9%
Odds 2.40
Show model details
Implied probability 41.7%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance 1X
Probability 46.7%
Odds 1.72
Show model details
Implied probability 58.1%
Bet quality Low
✓ Double Chance X2 Top pick
Probability 77.1%
Odds 1.40
Show model details
Implied probability 71.4%
Bet quality High

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Over 3.5
AJA – FEY @ 2.38
+15.0%
Edge
Forecast →