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Home › England › Premier League › Brentford — Wolves

Match Brentford vs Wolves March 16, 2026 — Result and Stats

England   /   Premier League Value pick inside
Brentford
Brentford
Home · last 5 L W L D D
Kick-off
Mon 16 Mar · 20:00
2:2
Full-time
Wolves
Wolves
L D L D D Away · last 5
Gtech Community Stadium · Brentford, Middlesex Referee Stuart Attwell, England
Miss
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 50% · book 2.20 ✗
Miss
BTTS No
BTTS No
AI 53% · book 2.04 ✗
Miss
Home Win
Home Win
AI 67% · book 1.60 ✗
Total goals
4
2 · 2
xG (open play)
2.56 – 1.33
Δ +1.23
Possession
49% – 51%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Under 2.5 at 2.20 — +10.6% better than the market.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · Under 2.5
Under 2.5 @ 2.20 ✗ Lost
AI 50% Implied 45% −1.00u
−100%
ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

BRE 4-1-4-1 · WOL 3-4-2-1
BRE · 4-1-4-1 3-4-2-1 · WOL 1 Kelleher 33 Kayode ⚽ 4 Berg 22 Collins 23 Lewis-Potter 6 Henderson 19 Ouattara 8 Jensen 24 Damsgaard 7 Schade 9 Thiago ⚽ 1 Sá 15 Mosquera 4 Bueno 37 Krejčí 38 Tchatchoua 7 André 8 Gomes 3 Bueno 27 Bellegarde 36 Mané 9 Armstrong ⚽
Subs used · BRE
68' Yarmolyuk ↑ · Schade ↓
72' Ajer ↑ · Damsgaard ↓
85' Nelson ↑ · Ouattara ↓
Subs used · WOL
46' Gomes ↑ · Mane ↓
74' Arokodare ↑ · Bellegarde ↓
87' Gomes ↑ · Armstrong ↓

📊 Statistics

BRE 2 – 2 WOL
49%
Possession (%)
51%
2.56
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
1.33
10
Total Shots
13
3
Shots on Target
4
7
Shots off Target
7
9
Shots Inside Box
9
1
Corner Kicks
5
0
Offsides
2
12
Fouls
10
77%
Pass Accuracy (%)
80%
2
Yellow Cards
4
2
Goalkeeper Saves
1

⏱ Match events

16 · 2 – 2
M. Kayode
Assist · K. Lewis-Potter · 1–0
⚽
22'
24'
▮
Adam Armstrong
Yellow Card
I. Thiago
Assist · D. Ouattara · 2–0
⚽
37'
44'
⚽
A. Armstrong
Assist · J. Bellegarde · 2–1
45+1'
▮
Ladislav Krejčí
Yellow Card
Half-time · 2 – 1
46'
⇄
A. Gomes ↓ · M. Mane ↑
Substitution 1
Nathan Collins
Yellow Card
▮
57'
Y. Yarmolyuk ↓ · K. Schade ↑
Substitution 1
⇄
68'
K. Ajer ↓ · M. Damsgaard ↑
Substitution 2
⇄
72'
74'
⇄
T. Arokodare ↓ · J. Bellegarde ↑
Substitution 2
Kristoffer Ajer
Yellow Card
▮
77'
77'
⚽
T. Arokodare
Assist · Joao Gomes · 2–2
R. Nelson ↓ · D. Ouattara ↑
Substitution 3
⇄
85'
87'
⇄
R. Gomes ↓ · A. Armstrong ↑
Substitution 3
89'
▮
Angel Gomes
Yellow Card
90+3'
▮
José Sá
Yellow Card
Full-time · 2 – 2

Match recap

Brentford and Wolves drew 2–2. At half-time it was 2–1.

On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 2.56 to 1.33. From set pieces, the visitors won the corner count, 5 to 1. For discipline, the referee produced 6 yellow cards.

On the scoresheet: M. Kayode (22'), I. Thiago (37'), A. Armstrong (44'), T. Arokodare (77').

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -0.05 units (Brier 0.249).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
Under 2.5 2.20 — 50% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS No 2.04 — 53% Lost −1.00 Miss
Home Win 1.60 — 67% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 2.5 1.78 — 50% Cashed +0.78 Cashed
BTTS Yes 1.84 — 47% Cashed +0.84 Cashed
Double Chance X2 2.55 — 33% Cashed +1.55 Cashed
Under 3.5 1.47 — 71% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 1.5 4.35 — 26% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 1.16 — 88% Cashed +0.16 Cashed
AH Home 0 1.22 — 67% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 3.5 2.83 — 29% Cashed +1.83 Cashed
Under 0.5 14.30 — 8% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 0.5 1.05 — 92% Cashed +0.05 Cashed
Draw 4.50 — 21% Cashed +3.50 Cashed
Over 1.5 1.24 — 74% Cashed +0.24 Cashed
Away Win 6.05 — 12% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Away 0 4.60 — 12% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each — — — 8 W · 9 L −0.05u −0% ROI
Value pick of the night · Under 2.5
BRE – WOL @ 2.20
+10.6%
Edge
Forecast →