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Home › Netherlands › Eredivisie › Heracles — Telstar

Predictions by Market: Heracles vs Telstar

Netherlands   /   Eredivisie Value pick inside
Heracles
Heracles
Home · last 5 L L L L L
Kick-off
Sat 06 Dec · 19:00
1:1
Full-time
Telstar
Telstar
L W D W W Away · last 5
Referee Danny Makkelie, Netherlands

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · HER
52%
Best 2.30
Draw
24%
Best 3.65
Away Win · STO
24%
Best 2.87
Value pick
Under 1.5
@ 4.75
Fair odds
4.20
book 4.75 · +13.2% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 24% · EV +13.2%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Over 1.5 is more likely (76%), but Under 1.5 is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Home Win Top pick
Probability 51.9%
Odds 2.26
Show model details
Implied probability 44.3%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Away Win
Probability 23.8%
Odds 3.10
Show model details
Implied probability 32.3%
Bet quality Low
✓ Draw
Probability 24.4%
Odds 3.80
Show model details
Implied probability 26.3%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
✓ Under 2.5
Probability 47.7%
Odds 2.28
Show model details
Implied probability 43.9%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Over 2.5
Probability 52.3%
Odds 1.68
Show model details
Implied probability 59.5%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 31%
Odds 2.65
Show model details
Implied probability 37.7%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 3.5
Probability 69%
Odds 1.52
Show model details
Implied probability 65.8%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Under 1.5
Probability 23.8%
Odds 4.75
Show model details
Implied probability 21.1%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Under 0.5
Probability 6.8%
Odds 16.00
Show model details
Implied probability 6.3%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 93.2%
Odds 1.04
Show model details
Implied probability 96.2%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 1.5
Probability 76.2%
Odds 1.22
Show model details
Implied probability 82%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS No
Probability 44.4%
Odds 2.45
Show model details
Implied probability 40.8%
Bet quality Medium
✓ BTTS Yes Best in group
Probability 55.6%
Odds 1.57
Show model details
Implied probability 63.7%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
✓ AH Home 0 Best in group
Probability 51.9%
Odds 1.68
Show model details
Implied probability 59.5%
Bet quality Low
✓ AH Away 0
Probability 23.8%
Odds 2.25
Show model details
Implied probability 44.4%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance X2
Probability 48.1%
Odds 1.67
Show model details
Implied probability 59.9%
Bet quality Low
✓ Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 76.2%
Odds 1.42
Show model details
Implied probability 70.4%
Bet quality High

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Under 1.5
HER – STO @ 4.75
+13.2%
Edge
Forecast →