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Home › England › Premier League › Crystal Palace — Leeds

Predictions by Market: Crystal Palace vs Leeds

England   /   Premier League Value pick inside
Crystal Palace
Crystal Palace
Home · last 5 L D L D L
Kick-off
Sun 15 Mar · 14:00
0:0
Full-time
Leeds
Leeds
D W D W L Away · last 5
Selhurst Park · London Referee T. Bramall

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · CRY
40%
Best 2.50
Draw
27%
Best 3.25
Away Win · LEE
33%
Best 3.00
Value pick
Over 2.5
@ 2.15
Fair odds
2.05
book 2.15 · +4.9% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 49% · EV +4.9%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Under 2.5 is more likely (51%), but Over 2.5 is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Home Win Best in group
Probability 39.8%
Odds 2.60
Show model details
Implied probability 38.5%
Bet quality Low
✓ Away Win
Probability 32.8%
Odds 3.00
Show model details
Implied probability 33.3%
Bet quality Low
✓ Draw
Probability 27.4%
Odds 3.35
Show model details
Implied probability 29.9%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
✓ Over 2.5
Probability 48.8%
Odds 2.15
Show model details
Implied probability 46.5%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Under 2.5
Probability 51.2%
Odds 1.81
Show model details
Implied probability 55.3%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 27.7%
Odds 3.75
Show model details
Implied probability 26.7%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 1.5
Probability 73.6%
Odds 1.37
Show model details
Implied probability 73%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 91.6%
Odds 1.08
Show model details
Implied probability 92.6%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 3.5
Probability 72.3%
Odds 1.30
Show model details
Implied probability 76.9%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 1.5
Probability 26.4%
Odds 3.40
Show model details
Implied probability 29.4%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 0.5
Probability 8.4%
Odds 9.50
Show model details
Implied probability 10.5%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS Yes Best in group
Probability 52.6%
Odds 1.86
Show model details
Implied probability 53.8%
Bet quality Low
✓ BTTS No
Probability 47.4%
Odds 2.04
Show model details
Implied probability 49%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
✓ AH Home 0 Best in group
Probability 39.8%
Odds 1.84
Show model details
Implied probability 54.4%
Bet quality Low
✓ AH Away 0
Probability 32.8%
Odds 2.11
Show model details
Implied probability 47.4%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 67.2%
Odds 1.44
Show model details
Implied probability 69.4%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Double Chance X2
Probability 60.2%
Odds 1.56
Show model details
Implied probability 64.1%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Over 2.5
CRY – LEE @ 2.15
+4.9%
Edge
Forecast →