P
Prognosist
P
Home England Premier League Chelsea — Newcastle

Predictions Chelsea vs Newcastle March 14, 2026 — Predictions and Probabilities

Chelsea
Chelsea
Home · last 5 L L D W L
Kick-off
Sat 14 Mar · 17:30
0:1
Full-time
Newcastle
Newcastle
L W D W L Away · last 5
Stamford Bridge · London Referee Paul Tierney, England
Home Win · CHE
60%
Best 1.86
Draw
22%
Best 4.03
Away Win · NEW
18%
Best 3.97
Value pick
Home Win
@ 1.86
Fair odds
1.66
book 1.86 · +12.0% vs market
Bookmakers polled
3
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
High
p 60% · EV +12.0%

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
Home Win Top pick
Probability 60.2%
Odds 1.86
Show model details
Implied probability 53.8%
Bet quality High
Draw
Probability 22%
Odds 4.31
Show model details
Implied probability 23.2%
Bet quality Low
Away Win
Probability 17.8%
Odds 4.12
Show model details
Implied probability 24.3%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
Under 3.5
Probability 59%
Odds 1.72
Show model details
Implied probability 58.1%
Bet quality Low
Under 2.5
Probability 37.5%
Odds 2.65
Show model details
Implied probability 37.7%
Bet quality Low
Over 3.5
Probability 41%
Odds 2.31
Show model details
Implied probability 43.3%
Bet quality Low
Over 2.5
Probability 62.5%
Odds 1.52
Show model details
Implied probability 65.8%
Bet quality Low
Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 95.5%
Odds 1.03
Show model details
Implied probability 97.1%
Bet quality Low
Under 1.5
Probability 17.4%
Odds 5.60
Show model details
Implied probability 17.9%
Bet quality Low
Over 1.5
Probability 82.6%
Odds 1.16
Show model details
Implied probability 86.2%
Bet quality Low
Under 0.5
Probability 4.5%
Odds 21.00
Show model details
Implied probability 4.8%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
BTTS No
Probability 38.5%
Odds 2.70
Show model details
Implied probability 37%
Bet quality Low
BTTS Yes Best in group
Probability 61.5%
Odds 1.50
Show model details
Implied probability 66.7%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
AH Home 0 Top pick
Probability 60.2%
Odds 1.42
Show model details
Implied probability 70.4%
Bet quality Medium
AH Away 0
Probability 17.8%
Odds 3.02
Show model details
Implied probability 33.1%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
Double Chance X2
Probability 39.8%
Odds 2.05
Show model details
Implied probability 48.8%
Bet quality Low
Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 82.2%
Odds 1.29
Show model details
Implied probability 77.5%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.