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Home › Netherlands › Eredivisie › Excelsior — NAC Breda

Predictions by Market: Excelsior vs NAC Breda

Netherlands   /   Eredivisie Value pick inside
Excelsior
Excelsior
Home · last 5 D W W D W
Kick-off
Sat 29 Nov · 15:30
1:0
Full-time
NAC Breda
NAC Breda
D L L W D Away · last 5
Referee Serdar Gozubuyuk, Netherlands

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · EXC
33%
Best 2.45
Draw
25%
Best 3.46
Away Win · BRE
42%
Best 2.76
Value pick
BTTS No
@ 2.42
Fair odds
2.11
book 2.42 · +14.7% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 47% · EV +14.7%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — BTTS Yes is more likely (53%), but BTTS No is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Home Win
Probability 33.1%
Odds 2.39
Show model details
Implied probability 41.8%
Bet quality Low
✓ Away Win Best in group
Probability 41.7%
Odds 2.94
Show model details
Implied probability 34%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Draw
Probability 25.1%
Odds 3.65
Show model details
Implied probability 27.4%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
✓ Under 2.5 Value pick
Probability 52%
Odds 2.18
Show model details
Implied probability 45.9%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Over 2.5
Probability 48%
Odds 1.73
Show model details
Implied probability 57.8%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 3.5 Value pick
Probability 73.1%
Odds 1.47
Show model details
Implied probability 68%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Under 1.5
Probability 27.5%
Odds 4.50
Show model details
Implied probability 22.2%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 26.9%
Odds 2.88
Show model details
Implied probability 34.7%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 0.5
Probability 8.3%
Odds 14.20
Show model details
Implied probability 7%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 91.7%
Odds 1.05
Show model details
Implied probability 95.2%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 1.5
Probability 72.5%
Odds 1.25
Show model details
Implied probability 80%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS No
Probability 47.4%
Odds 2.42
Show model details
Implied probability 41.3%
Bet quality Medium
✓ BTTS Yes Best in group
Probability 52.6%
Odds 1.57
Show model details
Implied probability 63.7%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
✓ AH Away 0 Best in group
Probability 41.7%
Odds 2.15
Show model details
Implied probability 46.5%
Bet quality Low
✓ AH Home 0
Probability 33.1%
Odds 1.75
Show model details
Implied probability 57.1%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance X2 Top pick
Probability 66.9%
Odds 1.60
Show model details
Implied probability 62.5%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Double Chance 1X
Probability 58.3%
Odds 1.44
Show model details
Implied probability 69.4%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · BTTS No
EXC – BRE @ 2.42
+14.7%
Edge
Forecast →