FC Volendam vs NAC Breda 2:1 — Match Review & Stats

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Under 3.5 at 1.55 — +11.1% better than the market.

FC Volendam vs NAC Breda Preview

FC Volendam hosts NAC Breda in a tightly matched Eredivisie clash. Despite a slight quality edge for the visitors, Volendam's home form and defensive solidity suggest a compact game. The home side's pressing and set-piece threat could challenge Breda's defense, which has shown some vulnerability. Both teams have mixed recent results, hinting at a cautious tempo with moderate scoring chances.

Volendam's home momentum and defensive resilience
Breda's slight quality advantage and offensive potential
Moderate pace expected with balanced attacking and defensive play

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Under 3.5

Under 3.5 @ 1.55 ✓ Cashed

AI 72% Implied 65% +0.55u

+55%

ROI on stake

Lineups

VOL 4-2-3-1 · BRE 4-2-3-1

VOL · 4-2-3-1 4-2-3-1 · BRE

9 Veerman

Statistics

VOL 2 – 1 BRE

51%

Possession (%)

49%

1.91

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

0.59

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

83%

Pass Accuracy (%)

79%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match recap

FC Volendam beat NAC Breda 2–1 at home. At half-time it was 0–1.

On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 1.91 to 0.59. For discipline, the referee produced 4 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -4.00 units (Brier 0.192).

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Under 2.5	2.38	—	51%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS No	2.48	—	47%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Away Win	2.70	—	43%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Away 0	2.01	—	43%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Home Win	2.55	—	33%	Cashed	+1.55	Cashed
Over 2.5	1.67	—	49%	Cashed	+0.67	Cashed
Over 3.5	2.63	—	28%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Home 0	1.89	—	33%	Cashed	+0.89	Cashed
Under 3.5	1.55	—	72%	Cashed	+0.55	Cashed
Double Chance X2	1.57	—	67%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 1.5	5.00	—	27%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	1.52	—	57%	Cashed	+0.52	Cashed
Under 0.5	16.00	—	8%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS Yes	1.56	—	53%	Cashed	+0.56	Cashed
Over 0.5	1.04	—	92%	Cashed	+0.04	Cashed
Draw	3.85	—	24%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 1.5	1.22	—	73%	Cashed	+0.22	Cashed
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−4.00u	−24% ROI

FC Volendam vs NAC Breda 2:1: Match Review & Stats

Model verdict

FC Volendam vs NAC Breda Preview

⛀ Lineups

📊 Statistics

Match recap

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

Lineups

Statistics

Bet recap · markets settled