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Home › Netherlands › Eredivisie › Utrecht — NEC Nijmegen

Predictions by Market: Utrecht vs NEC Nijmegen

Netherlands   /   Eredivisie Value pick inside
Utrecht
Utrecht
Home · last 5 W W W W D
Kick-off
Sun 02 Nov · 15:45
1:0
Full-time
NEC Nijmegen
NEC Nijmegen
D D D L W Away · last 5
Stadion Galgenwaard · Utrecht Referee Serdar Gozubuyuk, Netherlands

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · UTR
38%
Best 2.18
Draw
25%
Best 3.55
Away Win · NIJ
37%
Best 3.20
Value pick
Over 3.5
@ 2.55
Fair odds
2.24
book 2.55 · +14.0% vs market
Bookmakers polled
3
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 45% · EV +14.0%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Under 3.5 is more likely (55%), but Over 3.5 is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Home Win Best in group
Probability 38%
Odds 2.18
Show model details
Implied probability 45.9%
Bet quality Low
✓ Away Win
Probability 37.3%
Odds 3.45
Show model details
Implied probability 29%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Draw
Probability 24.7%
Odds 3.80
Show model details
Implied probability 26.3%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
✓ Over 2.5 Value pick
Probability 65.6%
Odds 1.65
Show model details
Implied probability 60.6%
Bet quality High
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 44.7%
Odds 2.55
Show model details
Implied probability 39.2%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Under 2.5
Probability 34.5%
Odds 2.38
Show model details
Implied probability 42%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 3.5
Probability 55.3%
Odds 1.57
Show model details
Implied probability 63.7%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 1.5
Probability 84.5%
Odds 1.21
Show model details
Implied probability 82.6%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 95.5%
Odds 1.05
Show model details
Implied probability 95.2%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 1.5
Probability 15.5%
Odds 5.00
Show model details
Implied probability 20%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 0.5
Probability 4.5%
Odds 16.00
Show model details
Implied probability 6.3%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS No
Probability 34.5%
Odds 2.64
Show model details
Implied probability 37.9%
Bet quality Low
✓ BTTS Yes Best in group
Probability 65.5%
Odds 1.55
Show model details
Implied probability 64.5%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
✓ AH Away 0
Probability 37.3%
Odds 2.50
Show model details
Implied probability 40%
Bet quality Low
✓ AH Home 0 Best in group
Probability 38%
Odds 1.58
Show model details
Implied probability 63.3%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance X2
Probability 62%
Odds 1.73
Show model details
Implied probability 57.8%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 62.7%
Odds 1.35
Show model details
Implied probability 74.1%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Over 3.5
UTR – NIJ @ 2.55
+14.0%
Edge
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