Match Heracles vs PEC Zwolle November 2, 2025 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

PEC Zwolle enters this clash with a clear quality edge and a stronger defensive setup, likely to challenge Heracles' attack effectively. Despite Heracles' home momentum, their recent form and offensive struggles suggest a cautious game. The pace may lean towards a controlled tempo, favoring a compact block and disciplined defense from Zwolle.

Zwolle's defensive solidity could stifle Heracles' limited offensive threat.
Heracles' home edge is mild but may not offset Zwolle's overall quality advantage.
Recent form favors Zwolle slightly, hinting at a tight contest with few goals.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

📊 Statistics

HER 8 – 2 ZWO

57%

Possession (%)

43%

3.48

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

1.20

23

Total Shots

7

11

Shots on Target

4

8

Shots off Target

1

18

Shots Inside Box

6

4

Corner Kicks

2

16

Fouls

11

80%

Pass Accuracy (%)

74%

0

Yellow Cards

3

2

Goalkeeper Saves

3

Match recap

Heracles beat PEC Zwolle 8–2 at home. At half-time it was 4–1.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 57% of the ball. On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 3.48 to 1.20. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 23 shots to 7, 11 on target. In front of goal, the hosts were clinical, scoring 8 from 3.48 expected goals. For discipline, the referee produced 3 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -2.51 units (Brier 0.267).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Under 2.5	2.09	—	56%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance X2	1.60	—	68%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS No	2.34	—	51%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Away 0	2.13	—	42%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS Yes	1.62	—	49%	Cashed	+0.62	Cashed
Home Win	2.48	—	32%	Cashed	+1.48	Cashed
Over 2.5	1.80	—	44%	Cashed	+0.80	Cashed
AH Home 0	1.83	—	32%	Cashed	+0.83	Cashed
Under 3.5	1.44	—	77%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Away Win	2.95	—	42%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 1.5	4.20	—	32%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 0.5	13.50	—	10%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	1.44	—	58%	Cashed	+0.44	Cashed
Over 3.5	3.00	—	23%	Cashed	+2.00	Cashed
Over 0.5	1.06	—	90%	Cashed	+0.06	Cashed
Draw	3.50	—	26%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 1.5	1.26	—	68%	Cashed	+0.26	Cashed
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−2.51u	−15% ROI