Match NAC Breda vs PEC Zwolle October 18, 2025 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

Preview & Verdict

NAC Breda hosts PEC Zwolle in a match where the home side is slightly favored. With an estimated 52.46% chance of winning, NAC Breda's odds of 2.17 offer a reasonable return. The game is likely to see goals, with a 51.13% probability for over 2.5 goals. Both teams have a moderate chance of scoring, but the odds suggest a tighter contest. Expect NAC Breda to leverage their home advantage, while PEC Zwolle will aim to capitalize on any defensive lapses.

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

⛀ Lineups

BRE 4-2-3-1 · ZWO 4-3-3

BRE · 4-2-3-1 4-3-3 · ZWO

17 van Hooijdonk

📊 Statistics

BRE 2 – 2 ZWO

47%

Possession (%)

53%

2.48

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

1.46

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

82%

Pass Accuracy (%)

84%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

Match recap

NAC Breda and PEC Zwolle drew 2–2. At half-time it was 2–1.

On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 2.48 to 1.46. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 19 shots to 11, 6 on target. At the back, the visitors leaned on their goalkeeper for 4 saves. For discipline, the referee produced 4 yellow cards.

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -1.43 units (Brier 0.209).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Home Win	2.17	—	52%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	1.35	—	77%	Cashed	+0.35	Cashed
BTTS No	2.25	—	45%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 2.5	2.07	—	49%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 1.5	4.20	—	24%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 0.5	1.05	—	94%	Cashed	+0.05	Cashed
Draw	3.70	—	25%	Cashed	+2.70	Cashed
Away Win	3.41	—	23%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS Yes	1.68	—	55%	Cashed	+0.68	Cashed
Under 0.5	14.00	—	6%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 1.5	1.26	—	76%	Cashed	+0.26	Cashed
Over 2.5	1.80	—	51%	Cashed	+0.80	Cashed
Over 3.5	2.95	—	30%	Cashed	+1.95	Cashed
Under 3.5	1.42	—	70%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance X2	1.78	—	48%	Cashed	+0.78	Cashed
AH Home 0	1.60	—	52%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Away 0	2.55	—	23%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−1.43u	−8% ROI