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Home Netherlands Eredivisie Ajax — AZ Alkmaar

Predictions Ajax vs AZ Alkmaar October 18, 2025 — Predictions and Probabilities

Ajax
Ajax
Home · last 5 D L D W D
Kick-off
Sat 18 Oct · 19:00
0:2
Full-time
AZ Alkmaar
AZ Alkmaar
W D D D D Away · last 5
Johan Cruijff Arena · Amsterdam Referee Jeroen Manschot, Netherlands
Home Win · AJA
47%
Best 2.01
Draw
24%
Best 3.79
Away Win · ALK
29%
Best 3.39
Value pick
Over 2.5
@ 1.62
Fair odds
1.44
book 1.62 · +12.5% vs market
Bookmakers polled
3
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
p 69% · EV +12.5%

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
Away Win
Probability 29.1%
Odds 3.56
Show model details
Implied probability 28.1%
Bet quality Low
Home Win Best in group
Probability 47.3%
Odds 2.03
Show model details
Implied probability 49.3%
Bet quality Low
Draw
Probability 23.6%
Odds 4.00
Show model details
Implied probability 25%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
Over 3.5
Probability 49%
Odds 2.50
Show model details
Implied probability 40%
Bet quality Medium
Over 2.5
Probability 69.4%
Odds 1.62
Show model details
Implied probability 61.7%
Bet quality High
Over 1.5
Probability 86.9%
Odds 1.20
Show model details
Implied probability 83.3%
Bet quality Medium
Over 0.5 Top pick
Probability 97%
Odds 1.04
Show model details
Implied probability 96.2%
Bet quality Medium
Under 0.5
Probability 3%
Odds 17.00
Show model details
Implied probability 5.9%
Bet quality Low
Under 1.5
Probability 13.1%
Odds 5.50
Show model details
Implied probability 18.2%
Bet quality Low
Under 2.5
Probability 30.6%
Odds 2.50
Show model details
Implied probability 40%
Bet quality Low
Under 3.5
Probability 51%
Odds 1.62
Show model details
Implied probability 61.7%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
BTTS Yes Top pick
Probability 68.6%
Odds 1.54
Show model details
Implied probability 64.9%
Bet quality Medium
BTTS No
Probability 31.4%
Odds 2.55
Show model details
Implied probability 39.2%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
AH Home 0 Best in group
Probability 47.3%
Odds 1.52
Show model details
Implied probability 65.8%
Bet quality Low
AH Away 0
Probability 29.1%
Odds 2.69
Show model details
Implied probability 37.2%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 70.9%
Odds 1.33
Show model details
Implied probability 75.2%
Bet quality Medium
Double Chance X2
Probability 52.7%
Odds 1.85
Show model details
Implied probability 54.1%
Bet quality Low

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.