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Home › England › Premier League › Tottenham — Crystal Palace

Predictions by Market: Tottenham vs Crystal Palace

England   /   Premier League Value pick inside
Tottenham
Tottenham
Home · last 5 W W D L W
Kick-off
Thu 05 Mar · 20:00
1:3
Full-time
Crystal Palace
Crystal Palace
L D L D L Away · last 5
Tottenham Hotspur Stadium · London Referee Andy Madley, England

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · TOT
49%
Best 2.47
Draw
26%
Best 3.32
Away Win · CRY
24%
Best 2.90
Value pick
Under 1.5
@ 4.00
Fair odds
3.63
book 4.00 · +10.2% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 28% · EV +10.2%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Over 1.5 is more likely (72%), but Under 1.5 is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Home Win Best in group
Probability 49.3%
Odds 2.47
Show model details
Implied probability 40.5%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Away Win
Probability 24.4%
Odds 3.15
Show model details
Implied probability 31.8%
Bet quality Low
✓ Draw
Probability 26.3%
Odds 3.55
Show model details
Implied probability 28.2%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
✓ Under 2.5
Probability 53%
Odds 2.02
Show model details
Implied probability 49.5%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Over 2.5
Probability 47%
Odds 1.92
Show model details
Implied probability 52.1%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 1.5
Probability 27.5%
Odds 4.00
Show model details
Implied probability 25%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Under 3.5
Probability 73.9%
Odds 1.40
Show model details
Implied probability 71.4%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 0.5
Probability 8.6%
Odds 11.90
Show model details
Implied probability 8.4%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 91.4%
Odds 1.06
Show model details
Implied probability 94.3%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 1.5
Probability 72.5%
Odds 1.28
Show model details
Implied probability 78.1%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 26.1%
Odds 3.25
Show model details
Implied probability 30.8%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS No
Probability 48.1%
Odds 2.26
Show model details
Implied probability 44.3%
Bet quality Medium
✓ BTTS Yes Best in group
Probability 51.9%
Odds 1.73
Show model details
Implied probability 57.8%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
✓ AH Home 0 Best in group
Probability 49.3%
Odds 1.76
Show model details
Implied probability 56.8%
Bet quality Low
✓ AH Away 0
Probability 24.4%
Odds 2.25
Show model details
Implied probability 44.4%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance X2
Probability 50.7%
Odds 1.62
Show model details
Implied probability 61.7%
Bet quality Low
✓ Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 75.6%
Odds 1.41
Show model details
Implied probability 70.9%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Under 1.5
TOT – CRY @ 4.00
+10.2%
Edge
Forecast →