Górnik Zabrze vs GKS Katowice — Arena Zabrze, GW6, 2025/2026. Derby tension, data-driven edge to the home side.

• Home/away form: Górnik Zabrze at home shows higher attacking output (xG for ≈ 2.04) and tighter defense (xG against ≈ 1.31). GKS Katowice away: xG for ≈ 1.40, xG against ≈ 2.05. Home advantage tallies in xG terms.
• Totals and odds: market leans to goals — Over 2.5 goals at 1.67; total xG in this pairing is about 3.34 historically, suggesting a mid-to-high scoring affair. Over 1.5 goals and Over 0.5 goals are favored in most matches.
• BTTS and clean sheets: BTTS Yes at 1.60, BTTS No at 2.19; baseline BTTS around 50%. Górnik Zabrze to keep a clean sheet is 2.80; Katowice clean sheet 5.00 (lower odds for Zabrze here).
• Corners: very active fixture type — average ~14 corners per match. Over 7.5 corners at 1.18 and Over 9.5 at 1.72 are fragile but plausible lines; Górnik often leads corner counts (line for most corners around 1.50).

Predictions and bets (succinct):

• Safe play: Górnik Zabrze Win or Draw (Double Chance) at 1.25.
• Core bet: Over 2.5 Goals at 1.67 and BTTS Yes at 1.60 — aligns with the mid/high scoring profile of this fixture.
• Alternative value: Over 9.5 corners at 1.72, given the fixture’s corner propensity.

Bottom line: a home-backed edge in xG, a derby tempo, and a market that mirrors likely goal-flow. Expect an open, goal-friendly match with opportunities at both ends.