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Home Portugal Primeira Liga Casa Pia — Rio Ave

Predictions Casa Pia vs Rio Ave May 16, 2026 — Predictions and Probabilities

Casa Pia
Casa Pia
Home · last 5 L W D D W
Kick-off
Sat 16 May · 17:00
1:1
Full-time
Rio Ave
Rio Ave
D L D L D Away · last 5
Estádio Municipal de Rio Maior · Rio Maior Referee H. Malheiro
Home Win · CAS
49%
Best 1.77
Draw
23%
Best 3.93
Away Win · RIO
28%
Best 4.75
Value pick
Double Chance X2
@ 2.22
Fair odds
1.95
book 2.22 · +14.1% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 51% · EV +14.1%

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
Home Win Best in group
Probability 48.6%
Odds 1.71
Show model details
Implied probability 58.5%
Bet quality Low
Away Win
Probability 28.4%
Odds 4.89
Show model details
Implied probability 20.5%
Bet quality Medium
Draw
Probability 23.1%
Odds 4.16
Show model details
Implied probability 24%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
Under 2.5 Value pick
Probability 57.9%
Odds 2.05
Show model details
Implied probability 48.8%
Bet quality High
Over 2.5
Probability 42.1%
Odds 1.85
Show model details
Implied probability 54.1%
Bet quality Low
Under 0.5
Probability 12.2%
Odds 13.00
Show model details
Implied probability 7.7%
Bet quality Medium
Under 1.5
Probability 35%
Odds 3.75
Show model details
Implied probability 26.7%
Bet quality Medium
Under 3.5
Probability 78.4%
Odds 1.36
Show model details
Implied probability 73.5%
Bet quality Medium
Over 3.5
Probability 21.6%
Odds 3.00
Show model details
Implied probability 33.3%
Bet quality Low
Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 87.8%
Odds 1.04
Show model details
Implied probability 96.2%
Bet quality Low
Over 1.5
Probability 65%
Odds 1.25
Show model details
Implied probability 80%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
BTTS No Value pick
Probability 57.1%
Odds 2.05
Show model details
Implied probability 48.8%
Bet quality High
BTTS Yes
Probability 42.9%
Odds 1.80
Show model details
Implied probability 55.6%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
AH Away 0
Probability 28.4%
Odds 3.45
Show model details
Implied probability 29%
Bet quality Low
AH Home 0 Best in group
Probability 48.6%
Odds 1.30
Show model details
Implied probability 76.9%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
Double Chance X2
Probability 51.4%
Odds 2.22
Show model details
Implied probability 45.1%
Bet quality Medium
Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 71.7%
Odds 1.20
Show model details
Implied probability 83.3%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.