Match Wolves vs Liverpool March 3, 2026 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks Under 3.5 at 1.66 — +13.0% better than the market.

Liverpool arrive at Molineux with clear quality superiority and recent strong form, suggesting they hold the upper hand. Wolves' defensive solidity at home offers some resistance, but Liverpool's attacking edge and consistent momentum make them favorites. Expect a tactical battle where Liverpool's pressing and sharper offense could unlock Wolves' compact block.

Home defensive resilience vs Liverpool's attacking threat
Liverpool's recent winning streak and higher quality
Moderate pace hinted by balanced over/under odds

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · Under 3.5

Under 3.5 @ 1.66 ✓ Cashed

AI 68% Implied 60% +0.66u

+66%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

WOL 3-5-1-1 · LIV 4-2-3-1

WOL · 3-5-1-1 4-2-3-1 · LIV

9 Armstrong

Subs used · WOL

59'

Mosquera ↑ ·

Doherty ↓

60'

Arokodare ↑ ·

Armstrong ↓

60'

Bellegarde ↑ ·

Gomes ↓

70'

Gomes ↑ ·

Mane ↓

79'

Bueno ↑ ·

M. Wolfe ↓

Subs used · LIV

46'

Jones ↑ ·

Gravenberch ↓

65'

Robertson ↑ ·

Kerkez ↓

65'

Ngumoha ↑ ·

Gakpo ↓

72'

Gomez ↑ ·

Frimpong ↓

79'

Chiesa ↑ ·

Konate ↓

📊 Statistics

WOL 2 – 1 LIV

34%

Possession (%)

66%

0.44

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

1.87

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

80%

Pass Accuracy (%)

89%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

⏱ Match events

16 · 2 – 1

22'

▮

Ryan Gravenberch

Yellow Card

Half-time · 0 – 0

46'

⇄

C. Jones ↓ · R. Gravenberch ↑

Substitution 1

Y. Mosquera ↓ · M. Doherty ↑

Substitution 1

⇄

59'

T. Arokodare ↓ · A. Armstrong ↑

Substitution 2

⇄

60'

J. Bellegarde ↓ · A. Gomes ↑

Substitution 3

⇄

60'

65'

⇄

A. Robertson ↓ · M. Kerkez ↑

Substitution 2

65'

⇄

R. Ngumoha ↓ · C. Gakpo ↑

Substitution 3

João Gomes

Yellow Card

▮

69'

R. Gomes ↓ · M. Mane ↑

Substitution 4

⇄

70'

72'

⇄

J. Gomez ↓ · J. Frimpong ↑

Substitution 4

R. Gomes

Assist · T. Arokodare · 1–0

⚽

78'

H. Bueno ↓ · D. M. Wolfe ↑

Substitution 5

⇄

79'

⇄

F. Chiesa ↓ · I. Konate ↑

Substitution 5

83'

⚽

M. Salah

1–1

Santiago Bueno

Yellow Card

▮

90'

Andre

Assist · J. Tchatchoua · 2–1

⚽

90'

Full-time · 2 – 1

Match recap

Wolves beat Liverpool 2–1 at home. At half-time it was 0–0.

In possession, the visitors ran the game with 66% of the ball. For accuracy, the visitors completed 89% of their passes. On the balance of chances, the visitors held the expected-goals edge, 1.87 to 0.44. In attack, the visitors carried the greater threat — 19 shots to 4, 7 on target. From set pieces, the visitors won the corner count, 11 to 2. At the back, the hosts leaned on their goalkeeper for 5 saves. In front of goal, the hosts were clinical, scoring 2 from 0.44 expected goals. For discipline, the referee produced 3 yellow cards.

On the scoresheet: R. Gomes (78'), M. Salah (83'), Andre (90').

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net +6.15 units (Brier 0.311).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
Under 3.5	1.66	—	68%	Cashed	+0.66	Cashed
Under 2.5	2.55	—	47%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS No	2.12	—	50%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS Yes	1.79	—	50%	Cashed	+0.79	Cashed
Over 3.5	2.42	—	32%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Away Win	1.44	—	72%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 1.5	5.50	—	24%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance X2	1.13	—	90%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Double Chance 1X	3.02	—	28%	Cashed	+2.02	Cashed
Under 0.5	19.50	—	7%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Away 0	1.16	—	72%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 2.5	1.57	—	53%	Cashed	+0.57	Cashed
Draw	5.38	—	19%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 0.5	1.03	—	93%	Cashed	+0.03	Cashed
Over 1.5	1.18	—	76%	Cashed	+0.18	Cashed
Home Win	7.60	—	10%	Cashed	+6.60	Cashed
AH Home 0	5.30	—	10%	Cashed	+4.30	Cashed
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	+6.15u	+36% ROI