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Home Portugal Primeira Liga Famalicao — Alverca

Predictions Famalicao vs Alverca May 16, 2026 — Predictions and Probabilities

Famalicao
Famalicao
Home · last 5 D W D D W
Kick-off
Sat 16 May · 19:30
1:0
Full-time
Alverca
Alverca
L W L D L Away · last 5
Estádio Municipal 22 de Junho · Vila Nova de Famalicão Referee C. Pereira
Home Win · FAM
64%
Best 1.66
Draw
23%
Best 4.33
Away Win · ALV
14%
Best 7.00
Value pick
Home Win
@ 1.66
Fair odds
1.57
book 1.66 · +5.8% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
High
p 64% · EV +5.8%

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
Home Win Top pick
Probability 63.7%
Odds 1.66
Show model details
Implied probability 60.2%
Bet quality High
Draw
Probability 22.5%
Odds 4.26
Show model details
Implied probability 23.5%
Bet quality Low
Away Win
Probability 13.8%
Odds 5.14
Show model details
Implied probability 19.5%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
Under 2.5 Value pick
Probability 50.6%
Odds 2.28
Show model details
Implied probability 43.9%
Bet quality Medium
Over 2.5
Probability 49.4%
Odds 1.69
Show model details
Implied probability 59.2%
Bet quality Low
Over 3.5
Probability 26%
Odds 3.10
Show model details
Implied probability 32.3%
Bet quality Low
Under 1.5
Probability 26.7%
Odds 4.33
Show model details
Implied probability 23.1%
Bet quality Medium
Under 3.5
Probability 74%
Odds 1.36
Show model details
Implied probability 73.5%
Bet quality Low
Under 0.5
Probability 7.8%
Odds 15.00
Show model details
Implied probability 6.7%
Bet quality Low
Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 92.2%
Odds 1.03
Show model details
Implied probability 97.1%
Bet quality Low
Over 1.5
Probability 73.3%
Odds 1.20
Show model details
Implied probability 83.3%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
BTTS No Best in group
Probability 49.5%
Odds 2.15
Show model details
Implied probability 46.5%
Bet quality Medium
BTTS Yes
Probability 48.2%
Odds 1.91
Show model details
Implied probability 52.4%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
AH Home 0 Top pick
Probability 63.7%
Odds 1.25
Show model details
Implied probability 80%
Bet quality Medium
AH Away 0
Probability 13.8%
Odds 3.80
Show model details
Implied probability 26.3%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
Double Chance X2
Probability 36.3%
Odds 2.30
Show model details
Implied probability 43.5%
Bet quality Low
Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 86.2%
Odds 1.19
Show model details
Implied probability 84%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.