Match Sporting CP vs GIL Vicente May 16, 2026 — Result and Stats on Prognosist

Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks BTTS Yes at 1.95 — +8.9% better than the market.

Sporting CP enters this clash with a clear quality edge and strong home momentum, backed by a solid defensive record and a potent attack that outmatches GIL Vicente's defense. The home side's pressing and compact block should challenge the visitors, who have struggled to maintain consistency on the road. Expect a lively tempo given the goal-scoring tendencies and recent form trends favoring Sporting's control.

Home advantage with tactical solidity
Superior attacking threat against weaker defense
Recent form favors Sporting's momentum

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded

Pick of the night · settled · BTTS Yes

BTTS Yes @ 1.95 ✗ Lost

AI 56% Implied 51% −1.00u

−100%

ROI on stake

⛀ Lineups

SPO 4-2-3-1 · VIC 4-2-3-1

SPO · 4-2-3-1 4-2-3-1 · VIC

97 Suárez ⚽

Subs used · SPO

73'

Braganca ↑ ·

Morita ↓

73'

Guilherme ↑ ·

Pote ↓

73'

Quenda ↑ ·

Catamo ↓

90'

Blopa ↑ ·

Trincao ↓

90'

Mangas ↑ ·

Vagiannidis ↓

Subs used · VIC

46'

Moreira ↑ ·

Fernandes ↓

73'

Hernandez ↑ ·

Varela ↓

73'

Hevertton ↑ ·

Carlos ↓

82'

Carlos ↑ ·

Caseres ↓

82'

Bermejo ↑ ·

Souza ↓

📊 Statistics

SPO 3 – 0 VIC

62%

Possession (%)

38%

1.65

Expected Goals (xG) expected goals

0.68

Total Shots

Shots on Target

Shots off Target

Shots Inside Box

Corner Kicks

Offsides

Fouls

90%

Pass Accuracy (%)

82%

Yellow Cards

Goalkeeper Saves

⏱ Match events

14 · 3 – 0

E. Quaresma

Assist · Pote · 1–0

⚽

15'

L. Suarez

2–0

⚽

34'

Half-time · 2 – 0

46'

⇄

A. Moreira ↓ · J. Fernandes ↑

Substitution 1

63'

▮

Ze Carlos

Yellow Card

D. Braganca ↓ · H. Morita ↑

Substitution 1

⇄

73'

Luis Guilherme ↓ · Pote ↑

Substitution 2

⇄

73'

G. Quenda ↓ · G. Catamo ↑

Substitution 3

⇄

73'

⇄

H. Hernandez ↓ · G. Varela ↑

Substitution 2

73'

⇄

S. Hevertton ↓ · Ze Carlos ↑

Substitution 3

82'

⇄

Ze Carlos ↓ · F. Caseres ↑

Substitution 4

82'

⇄

Bermejo ↓ · Murilo de Souza ↑

Substitution 5

S. Blopa ↓ · Trincao ↑

Substitution 4

⇄

90'

R. Mangas ↓ · G. Vagiannidis ↑

Substitution 5

⇄

90'

M. Hjulmand

Assist · G. Quenda · 3–0

⚽

90+3'

Full-time · 3 – 0

Match recap

Sporting CP beat GIL Vicente 3–0 at home. At half-time it was 2–0.

In possession, the hosts ran the game with 62% of the ball. For accuracy, the hosts completed 90% of their passes. On the balance of chances, the hosts held the expected-goals edge, 1.65 to 0.68. In attack, the hosts carried the greater threat — 15 shots to 10, 5 on target. From set pieces, the hosts won the corner count, 6 to 1.

On the scoresheet: E. Quaresma (15'), L. Suarez (34'), M. Hjulmand (90+3').

Model audit for this match: of 17 graded markets, 8 landed and 9 missed, for a net -6.42 units (Brier 0.091).

⚖ Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L

Market	Odds	Closed	AI	Result	P/L · 1u
BTTS Yes	1.95	1.88	56%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 3.5	2.03	1.95	51%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 3.5	1.87	1.80	49%	Cashed	+0.87	Cashed
Under 2.5	3.10	2.89	29%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
BTTS No	1.85	1.85	44%	Cashed	+0.85	Cashed
Draw	6.61	7.25	17%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Over 2.5	1.36	1.36	71%	Cashed	+0.36	Cashed
Double Chance 1X	1.06	1.04	94%	Cashed	+0.06	Cashed
Home Win	1.25	1.18	77%	Cashed	+0.25	Cashed
AH Home 0	1.03	1.02	77%	Cashed	+0.03	Cashed
Over 0.5	1.02	1.01	96%	Cashed	+0.02	Cashed
Over 1.5	1.14	1.08	86%	Cashed	+0.14	Cashed
Double Chance X2	4.18	4.55	23%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 1.5	5.50	6.49	15%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Away Win	12.20	13.51	6%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Under 0.5	19.00	20.83	4%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
AH Away 0	8.00	9.17	6%	Lost	−1.00	Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each	—	—	—	8 W · 9 L	−6.42u	−38% ROI