P
Prognosist
P
Home › Portugal › Primeira Liga › AVS — FC Porto

Predictions by Market: AVS vs FC Porto

Portugal   /   Primeira Liga Value pick inside
AVS
AVS
Home · last 5 D D W W D
Kick-off
Sun 10 May · 17:00
3:1
Full-time
FC Porto
FC Porto
W W W L W Away · last 5
Estádio Clube Desportivo das Aves · Vila das Aves Referee Carlos Macedo, Portugal

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · AVS
6%
Best 14.10
Draw
16%
Best 7.42
Away Win · POR
78%
Best 1.22
Value pick
Under 1.5
@ 5.50
Fair odds
4.98
book 5.50 · +10.5% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 20% · EV +10.5%

Value pick isn't the most likely outcome — Over 1.5 is more likely (80%), but Under 1.5 is priced above the model's fair odds.

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Draw
Probability 16.3%
Odds 7.46
Show model details
Implied probability 13.4%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Away Win Top pick
Probability 78%
Odds 1.22
Show model details
Implied probability 82%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Home Win
Probability 5.7%
Odds 13.80
Show model details
Implied probability 7.3%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
✓ Under 3.5
Probability 63.4%
Odds 1.66
Show model details
Implied probability 60.2%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Under 2.5
Probability 41.5%
Odds 2.55
Show model details
Implied probability 39.2%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 36.7%
Odds 2.33
Show model details
Implied probability 42.9%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 1.5
Probability 20.1%
Odds 5.50
Show model details
Implied probability 18.2%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Over 2.5
Probability 58.5%
Odds 1.50
Show model details
Implied probability 66.7%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 0.5
Probability 5.5%
Odds 19.50
Show model details
Implied probability 5.1%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 94.5%
Odds 1.02
Show model details
Implied probability 98%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 1.5
Probability 79.9%
Odds 1.14
Show model details
Implied probability 87.7%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS Yes
Probability 46.1%
Odds 2.05
Show model details
Implied probability 48.8%
Bet quality Low
✓ BTTS No Best in group
Probability 53.9%
Odds 1.73
Show model details
Implied probability 57.8%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
✓ AH Away 0 Top pick
Probability 78%
Odds 1.02
Show model details
Implied probability 98%
Bet quality Medium
✓ AH Home 0
Probability 5.7%
Odds 8.50
Show model details
Implied probability 11.8%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance X2 Top pick
Probability 94.3%
Odds 1.05
Show model details
Implied probability 95.2%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Double Chance 1X
Probability 22%
Odds 4.72
Show model details
Implied probability 21.2%
Bet quality Low

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Under 1.5
AVS – POR @ 5.50
+10.5%
Edge
Forecast →