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Home › Portugal › Primeira Liga › GIL Vicente — Arouca

Predictions by Market: GIL Vicente vs Arouca

Portugal   /   Primeira Liga Value pick inside
GIL Vicente
GIL Vicente
Home · last 5 L W D L L
Kick-off
Mon 11 May · 19:15
1:3
Full-time
Arouca
Arouca
W L D W W Away · last 5
Estadio Cidade de Barcelos · Barcelos Referee M. Fonseca

Outcome probabilities

Home Win · VIC
62%
Best 1.72
Draw
23%
Best 4.00
Away Win · ARO
15%
Best 5.04
Value pick
Under 2.5
@ 2.04
Fair odds
1.85
book 2.04 · +10.3% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
Medium
p 54% · EV +10.3%

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
✓ Home Win Top pick
Probability 61.9%
Odds 1.75
Show model details
Implied probability 57.1%
Bet quality High
✓ Draw
Probability 23.4%
Odds 3.93
Show model details
Implied probability 25.5%
Bet quality Low
✓ Away Win
Probability 14.7%
Odds 4.89
Show model details
Implied probability 20.5%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
✓ Under 2.5 Value pick
Probability 54.1%
Odds 2.04
Show model details
Implied probability 49%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Over 2.5
Probability 45.9%
Odds 1.87
Show model details
Implied probability 53.5%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 1.5
Probability 28.9%
Odds 3.80
Show model details
Implied probability 26.3%
Bet quality Medium
✓ Over 3.5
Probability 25.7%
Odds 3.10
Show model details
Implied probability 32.3%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 0.5
Probability 9.2%
Odds 11.50
Show model details
Implied probability 8.7%
Bet quality Low
✓ Under 3.5
Probability 74.3%
Odds 1.36
Show model details
Implied probability 73.5%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 90.8%
Odds 1.05
Show model details
Implied probability 95.2%
Bet quality Low
✓ Over 1.5
Probability 71.2%
Odds 1.25
Show model details
Implied probability 80%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
✓ BTTS No Top pick
Probability 52.3%
Odds 2.00
Show model details
Implied probability 50%
Bet quality Medium
✓ BTTS Yes
Probability 47.7%
Odds 1.80
Show model details
Implied probability 55.6%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
✓ AH Home 0 Top pick
Probability 61.9%
Odds 1.27
Show model details
Implied probability 78.7%
Bet quality Medium
✓ AH Away 0
Probability 14.7%
Odds 3.55
Show model details
Implied probability 28.2%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
✓ Double Chance X2
Probability 38.1%
Odds 2.15
Show model details
Implied probability 46.5%
Bet quality Low
✓ Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 85.3%
Odds 1.20
Show model details
Implied probability 83.3%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · Under 2.5
VIC – ARO @ 2.04
+10.3%
Edge
Forecast →