P
Prognosist
P
⚽ Football 57 + Value 23 📈 Forecasts
Football Portugal Primeira Liga Benfica — SC Braga
Portugal   /   Primeira Liga Value pick inside
Benfica
Benfica
Home · last 5 W W D D W
Kick-off
Mon 11 May · 19:15
2:2
Full-time
SC Braga
SC Braga
W L D D D Away · last 5
Referee J. Pinheiro
Hit
BTTS Yes
BTTS Yes
AI 60% · book 1.90
Hit
Over 2.5
Over 2.5
AI 64% · book 1.70
Miss
Under 2.5
Under 2.5
AI 36% · book 2.26
Total goals
4
2 · 2
xG (open play)
3.17 – 0.21
Δ +2.96
Possession
52% – 48%
AI accuracy
8 / 17
picks cashed
Post-match · 90 sec read

AI picks BTTS Yes at 1.90 — +13.9% better than the market.

Benfica Looks to Maintain Home Momentum

Benfica enters this clash with a clear quality edge and strong home form, showing resilience and attacking prowess. Their offensive pressure meets a Braga defense that has struggled to contain top-tier attacks, suggesting Benfica’s pressing edge could unlock chances. Braga’s recent mixed results and lower scoring rate hint at a challenging night ahead, though their ability to score keeps the contest open. Expect a lively tempo with goals likely from both sides given the attacking matchups and historical goal-rich encounters.

  • Benfica’s home strength and attacking edge
  • Braga’s defensive vulnerabilities against high pressure
  • Potential for goals on both ends in a dynamic game

P Recap generated by AI · 6 markets graded
Pick of the night · settled · BTTS Yes
BTTS Yes @ 1.90 ✓ Cashed
AI 60% Implied 53% +0.90u
+90%
ROI on stake

Lineups

BEN 4-2-3-1 · BRA 3-5-2
Subs used · BEN
61' Pavlidis ↑ · Ivanovic
76' Lukebakio ↑ · Barreiro
Subs used · BRA
67' Dorgeles ↑ · Martinez
74' Zalazar ↑ · Navarro
82' Moscardo ↑ · Lelo

📊 Statistics

BEN 22 BRA
52%
Possession (%)
48%
3.17
Expected Goals (xG) expected goals
0.21
24
Total Shots
5
8
Shots on Target
2
8
Shots off Target
1
16
Shots Inside Box
2
8
Corner Kicks
2
2
Offsides
1
6
Fouls
11
82%
Pass Accuracy (%)
80%
1
Yellow Cards
4
0
Goalkeeper Saves
6

Match events

14 · 2 – 2
Half-time · 0 – 0
Rafa Silva
1–0
46'
48'
P. Victor
Assist · V. Gomez · 1–1
56'
L. Hornicek
Yellow Card
57'
L. Lelo
Yellow Card
V. Pavlidis ↓ · F. Ivanovic ↑
Substitution 1
61'
67'
M. Dorgeles ↓ · G. Martinez ↑
Substitution 1
74'
R. Zalazar ↓ · F. Navarro ↑
Substitution 2
D. Lukebakio ↓ · L. Barreiro ↑
Substitution 2
76'
82'
Gabriel Moscardo ↓ · L. Lelo ↑
Substitution 3
A. Dedic
Yellow Card
87'
88'
Gorby
Assist · M. Dorgeles · 1–2
90+3'
Vitor Carvalho
Yellow Card
V. Pavlidis (P)
Penalty · 2–2
90+5'
90+6'
V. Gomez
Yellow Card
Full-time · 2 – 2

Bet recap · markets settled

17 · 8 W · 9 L
Market Odds Closed AI Result P/L · 1u
BTTS Yes 1.90 1.80 60% Cashed +0.90 Cashed
Over 2.5 1.70 1.60 64% Cashed +0.70 Cashed
Under 2.5 2.26 2.38 36% Lost −1.00 Miss
BTTS No 1.95 1.95 40% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 3.5 2.88 2.38 43% Cashed +1.88 Cashed
Home Win 1.45 1.37 70% Lost −1.00 Miss
Double Chance 1X 1.10 1.08 90% Cashed +0.10 Cashed
Double Chance X2 2.88 2.89 30% Cashed +1.88 Cashed
Under 3.5 1.44 1.50 57% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Home 0 1.15 1.11 70% Lost −1.00 Miss
Over 1.5 1.20 1.14 83% Cashed +0.20 Cashed
Draw 5.00 4.74 20% Cashed +4.00 Cashed
Over 0.5 1.03 1.02 95% Cashed +0.03 Cashed
Away Win 7.44 7.25 10% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 1.5 4.33 4.74 17% Lost −1.00 Miss
Under 0.5 15.00 14.93 5% Lost −1.00 Miss
AH Away 0 5.50 5.78 10% Lost −1.00 Miss
Total · 17 markets @ 1u each 8 W · 9 L +0.69u +4% ROI
Best bet of the night · BTTS Yes
BEN – BRA @ 1.90
+13.9%
Edge
Forecast →