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Home Portugal Primeira Liga Moreirense — Estrela

Predictions Moreirense vs Estrela May 2, 2026 — Predictions and Probabilities

Portugal   /   Primeira Liga Value pick inside
Moreirense
Moreirense
Home · last 5 W L W L D
Kick-off
Sat 02 May · 14:30
3:2
Full-time
Estrela
Estrela
L L L D D Away · last 5
Parque Desportivo Comendador Joaquim de Almeida Freitas · Moreira de Cónegos Referee H. Malheiro
Home Win · MOR
40%
Best 3.14
Draw
27%
Best 3.10
Away Win · EST
31%
Best 2.57
Value pick
BTTS No
@ 1.91
Fair odds
1.73
book 1.91 · +10.5% vs market
Bookmakers polled
4
distinct bookmakers
Pick confidence
High
p 58% · EV +10.5%

Match predictions

Simple model predictions for the main markets. Advanced model details are available below.

Most likely outcomes show what the model expects to happen. A betting pick also considers bookmaker prices, so it can differ from the most likely outcome.

Estimated probability — model's view. Implied probability — back-solved from the best book price. Bet quality: High Medium Low
FT Results 3 markets
Home Win Best in group
Probability 39.8%
Odds 3.14
Show model details
Implied probability 31.9%
Bet quality Medium
Away Win
Probability 31.3%
Odds 2.57
Show model details
Implied probability 38.9%
Bet quality Low
Draw
Probability 27.4%
Odds 3.32
Show model details
Implied probability 30.1%
Bet quality Low
Totals 8 markets
Under 2.5 Value pick
Probability 64.5%
Odds 1.70
Show model details
Implied probability 58.8%
Bet quality High
Over 2.5
Probability 35.5%
Odds 2.26
Show model details
Implied probability 44.3%
Bet quality Low
Under 1.5
Probability 38.5%
Odds 3.00
Show model details
Implied probability 33.3%
Bet quality Medium
Under 0.5
Probability 13.8%
Odds 8.00
Show model details
Implied probability 12.5%
Bet quality Low
Under 3.5
Probability 82.4%
Odds 1.22
Show model details
Implied probability 82%
Bet quality Low
Over 0.5 Best in group
Probability 86.2%
Odds 1.08
Show model details
Implied probability 92.6%
Bet quality Low
Over 1.5
Probability 61.5%
Odds 1.36
Show model details
Implied probability 73.5%
Bet quality Low
Over 3.5
Probability 17.6%
Odds 4.00
Show model details
Implied probability 25%
Bet quality Low
BTTS 2 markets
BTTS No Value pick
Probability 57.9%
Odds 1.91
Show model details
Implied probability 52.4%
Bet quality High
BTTS Yes
Probability 42.2%
Odds 1.91
Show model details
Implied probability 52.4%
Bet quality Low
Asian Handicap 2 markets
AH Home 0 Best in group
Probability 39.8%
Odds 2.16
Show model details
Implied probability 46.3%
Bet quality Low
AH Away 0
Probability 31.3%
Odds 1.76
Show model details
Implied probability 56.8%
Bet quality Low
Other Markets 2 markets
Double Chance 1X Top pick
Probability 68.7%
Odds 1.55
Show model details
Implied probability 64.5%
Bet quality Medium
Double Chance X2
Probability 60.2%
Odds 1.39
Show model details
Implied probability 71.9%
Bet quality Medium

Predictions are model estimates based on data, not guaranteed outcomes. 18+ — please play responsibly.

Value pick of the night · BTTS No
MOR – EST @ 1.91
+10.5%
Edge
Forecast →